Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a ADO Den Haag win with a probability of 58.56%. A win for Jong PSV had a probability of 22.46% and a draw had a probability of 19%.
The most likely scoreline for an ADO Den Haag win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.1%) and 2-0 (5.97%). The likeliest Jong PSV win was 1-2 (5.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.