Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong PSV win with a probability of 52.32%. A win for TOP Oss had a probability of 26.08% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jong PSV win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.88%) and 1-0 (6.85%). The likeliest TOP Oss win was 1-2 (6.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.38%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Jong PSV would win this match.