Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roda JC win with a probability of 56.5%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for TOP Oss had a probability of 21.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roda JC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.6%) and 0-2 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.4%), while for a TOP Oss win it was 2-1 (5.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Roda JC would win this match.