Eerste Divisie | Gameweek 36

Apr 28, 2024 at 3.45pm UK

Rat Verlegh Stadion

NAC Breda
2 - 0
Jong PSV

Koscelnik (26'), Omgba (79')
Royo (78')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between NAC Breda and Jong PSV.

Form, Standings, Stats

NAC Breda

All competitions

Last Game: Den Bosch 2-2 NAC Breda
Friday, April 19 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie

Goals
for

Jong PSV

All competitions

Last Game: Jong PSV 2-0 Jong Utrecht
Monday, April 22 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NAC Breda win with a probability of 55.38%. A win for Jong PSV had a probability of 24.72% and a draw had a probability of 19.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a NAC Breda win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.78%) and 2-0 (5.98%). The likeliest Jong PSV win was 1-2 (5.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that NAC Breda would win this match.

Result
NAC Breda	Draw	Jong PSV
55.38% ( -0.27)	19.91% ( 0.13)	24.72% ( 0.15)

Both teams to score 69.59% (

-0.32)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

72.67% (

-0.48)

27.33% (

0.48)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

52.1% (

-0.6)

47.91% (

0.61)

NAC Breda Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.79% (

-0.22)

10.21% (

0.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

66.48% (

-0.5)

33.52% (

0.51)

Jong PSV Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.5% (

-0.17)

22.5% (

0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.94% (

-0.25)

56.06% (

0.26)

Score Analysis

NAC Breda 55.38%

Jong PSV 24.72%

Draw 19.91%

NAC Breda	Draw	Jong PSV
2-1 @ 8.92% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 6.78% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 5.98% ( 0.06) 1-0 @ 5.24% ( 0.1) 3-2 @ 5.06% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 4.55% ( 0) 4-1 @ 3.87% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 2.89% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 2.59% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 1.77% ( -0.04) 4-3 @ 1.44% ( -0.03) 5-2 @ 1.32% ( -0.04) 5-0 @ 1.18% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.79% Total : 55.38%	1-1 @ 7.82% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 6.65% ( 0) 3-3 @ 2.52% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 2.3% ( 0.07) Other @ 0.62% Total : 19.91%	1-2 @ 5.83% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 3.43% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 3.31% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.9% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 2.56% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 1.27% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 1.23% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.08% 3-4 @ 0.94% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.17% Total : 24.72%