Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dordrecht win with a probability of 60.51%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for TOP Oss had a probability of 18.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dordrecht win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.42%) and 1-0 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.65%), while for a TOP Oss win it was 1-2 (5.09%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dordrecht would win this match.