Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Emmen win with a probability of 52.46%. A win for De Graafschap had a probability of 25.65% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Emmen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.35%) and 2-0 (7.23%). The likeliest De Graafschap win was 1-2 (6.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Emmen in this match.