Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong AZ win with a probability of 39.1%. A win for Den Bosch had a probability of 36.57% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jong AZ win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.67%) and 0-2 (5.84%). The likeliest Den Bosch win was 2-1 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.23%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.