Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Emmen win with a probability of 46.92%. A win for Vitesse had a probability of 29.19% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Emmen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.65%) and 2-0 (7.3%). The likeliest Vitesse win was 1-2 (7.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.1%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood.