Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charlotte FC win with a probability of 43.43%. A win for New England Revolution had a probability of 31.75% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Charlotte FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.03%) and 2-0 (7.01%). The likeliest New England Revolution win was 1-2 (7.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Charlotte FC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Charlotte FC | Draw | New England Revolution |
| 43.43% ( | 24.81% ( | 31.75% ( |
| Both teams to score 57.18% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.11% ( | 45.89% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.8% ( | 68.2% ( |
| Charlotte FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.82% ( | 21.18% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.95% ( | 54.05% ( |
| New England Revolution Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.54% ( | 27.46% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.05% ( | 62.95% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Charlotte FC | Draw | New England Revolution |
| 2-1 @ 9.06% ( 1-0 @ 9.03% ( 2-0 @ 7.01% ( 3-1 @ 4.69% ( 3-0 @ 3.63% ( 3-2 @ 3.03% ( 4-1 @ 1.82% ( 4-0 @ 1.41% ( 4-2 @ 1.18% ( Other @ 2.6% Total : 43.43% | 1-1 @ 11.66% ( 2-2 @ 5.85% ( 0-0 @ 5.82% ( 3-3 @ 1.3% ( Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.81% | 1-2 @ 7.54% ( 0-1 @ 7.52% ( 0-2 @ 4.86% ( 1-3 @ 3.25% ( 2-3 @ 2.52% ( 0-3 @ 2.09% ( 1-4 @ 1.05% ( Other @ 2.93% Total : 31.75% |