Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Salt Lake win with a probability of 64.95%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for New England Revolution had a probability of 16.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Salt Lake win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.63%) and 3-1 (7.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.17%), while for a New England Revolution win it was 1-2 (4.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Salt Lake would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Real Salt Lake | Draw | New England Revolution |
| 64.95% ( | 18.5% ( | 16.56% ( |
| Both teams to score 60.83% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.36% ( | 32.64% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.69% ( | 54.31% ( |
| Real Salt Lake Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.51% ( | 9.49% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 68.16% ( | 31.83% ( |
| New England Revolution Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.2% ( | 32.79% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.64% ( | 69.35% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Real Salt Lake | Draw | New England Revolution |
| 2-1 @ 9.62% ( 2-0 @ 8.63% ( 3-1 @ 7.55% ( 1-0 @ 7.33% ( 3-0 @ 6.77% ( 4-1 @ 4.45% ( 3-2 @ 4.21% 4-0 @ 3.99% ( 4-2 @ 2.48% ( 5-1 @ 2.1% ( 5-0 @ 1.88% ( 5-2 @ 1.17% ( 4-3 @ 0.92% ( Other @ 3.85% Total : 64.95% | 1-1 @ 8.17% ( 2-2 @ 5.36% ( 0-0 @ 3.11% ( 3-3 @ 1.57% ( Other @ 0.29% Total : 18.5% | 1-2 @ 4.56% ( 0-1 @ 3.47% ( 2-3 @ 1.99% ( 0-2 @ 1.93% ( 1-3 @ 1.69% ( Other @ 2.91% Total : 16.56% |