Major League Soccer

Aug 25, 2024 at 2.30am UK

Rio Tinto Stadium

Salt Lake
0 - 2
Earthquakes

Brook (81'), Brook (81')

FT(HT: 0-4)

Espinoza (20', 20'), Pellegrino (33', 33')
Gruezo (37'), Gruezo (37'), Brito (84'), Brito (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Real Salt Lake and San Jose Earthquakes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Real Salt Lake

All competitions

Major League Soccer

Last Game: Houston 3-0 Salt Lake
Tuesday, August 6 at 2am in Leagues Cup

Goals
for

San Jose Earthquakes

All competitions

Major League Soccer

Last Game: Los Angeles 4-1 Earthquakes
Wednesday, August 14 at 3.30am in Leagues Cup

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Salt Lake win with a probability of 68.96%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 13.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Salt Lake win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.44%) and 3-1 (7.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.78%), while for a San Jose Earthquakes win it was 1-2 (3.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.

Result
Real Salt Lake	Draw	San Jose Earthquakes
68.96% ( -0.12)	17.29% ( 0.1)	13.75% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 58.08% (

-0.39)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

67.15% (

-0.5)

32.85% (

0.49)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

45.45% (

-0.57)

54.55% (

0.57)

Real Salt Lake Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

91.36% (

-0.16)

8.64% (

0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

70.21% (

-0.38)

29.79% (

0.37)

San Jose Earthquakes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.57% (

-0.32)

36.43% (

0.31)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.78% (

-0.32)

73.21% (

0.31)

Score Analysis

Real Salt Lake 68.96%

San Jose Earthquakes 13.75%

Draw 17.29%

Real Salt Lake	Draw	San Jose Earthquakes
2-1 @ 9.53% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 9.44% ( 0.11) 3-1 @ 7.78% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 7.71% ( 0.15) 3-0 @ 7.7% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 4.76% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 4.72% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.93% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 2.41% ( -0.05) 5-1 @ 2.33% ( -0.04) 5-0 @ 2.31% ( -0.02) 5-2 @ 1.18% ( -0.03) 6-1 @ 0.95% ( -0.03) 6-0 @ 0.94% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.28% Total : 68.96%	1-1 @ 7.78% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 4.81% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 3.15% ( 0.08) 3-3 @ 1.32% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.23% Total : 17.29%	1-2 @ 3.93% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 3.18% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 1.62% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 1.6% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 1.32% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.1% Total : 13.75%