Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 71.08%. A draw had a probability of 16% and a win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 12.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.45%) and 3-1 (8.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.83%), while for a San Jose Earthquakes win it was 1-2 (3.67%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 4-1 win for Los Angeles FC in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Los Angeles FC.