Los Angeles FC
Leagues Cup | Round of 16
Aug 14, 2024 at 3.30am UK
Rose Bowl
San Jose Earthquakes

Los Angeles
4 - 1
Earthquakes

Olivera (17', 17'), Bouanga (45+5' pen., 45+5' pen., 66', 66'), Bogusz (61', 61')
FT(HT: 4-2)
Lopez (41', 41')
Yarbrough (45+2'), Yarbrough (45+2'), Russell (50'), Russell (50')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Leagues Cup clash between Los Angeles FC and San Jose Earthquakes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Los Angeles FC

All competitions
Leagues Cup
Last Game: Los Angeles 2-0 Austin
Thursday, August 8 at 3.30am in Leagues Cup

San Jose Earthquakes

All competitions
Leagues Cup
Last Game: Earthquakes 5-0 Necaxa
Friday, August 9 at 4am in Leagues Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 71.08%. A draw had a probability of 16% and a win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 12.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.45%) and 3-1 (8.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.83%), while for a San Jose Earthquakes win it was 1-2 (3.67%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 4-1 win for Los Angeles FC in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Los Angeles FC.

Result
Los Angeles FCDrawSan Jose Earthquakes
71.08% (0.53299999999999 0.53)15.95% (-0.174 -0.17)12.97% (-0.361 -0.36)
Both teams to score 61.24% (-0.429 -0.43)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
72.04% (-0.039999999999992 -0.04)27.96% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
51.31% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)48.69% (0.047000000000004 0.05)
Los Angeles FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.01% (0.090999999999994 0.09)6.99% (-0.0941 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
74.41% (0.245 0.25)25.6% (-0.248 -0.25)
San Jose Earthquakes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.85% (-0.52800000000001 -0.53)34.15% (0.524 0.52)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.16% (-0.57 -0.57)70.85% (0.56700000000001 0.57)
Score Analysis
    Los Angeles FC 71.08%
    San Jose Earthquakes 12.97%
    Draw 15.95%
Los Angeles FCDrawSan Jose Earthquakes
2-1 @ 9.08% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-0 @ 8.45% (0.103 0.1)
3-1 @ 8.05% (0.023 0.02)
3-0 @ 7.49% (0.128 0.13)
1-0 @ 6.35% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
4-1 @ 5.36% (0.042000000000001 0.04)
4-0 @ 4.98% (0.109 0.11)
3-2 @ 4.33% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
4-2 @ 2.88% (-0.019 -0.02)
5-1 @ 2.85% (0.036 0.04)
5-0 @ 2.65% (0.071 0.07)
5-2 @ 1.53% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
6-1 @ 1.26% (0.022 0.02)
6-0 @ 1.18% (0.037 0.04)
4-3 @ 1.03% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 3.61%
Total : 71.08%
1-1 @ 6.83% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
2-2 @ 4.88% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-0 @ 2.39% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-3 @ 1.55% (-0.04 -0.04)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 15.95%
1-2 @ 3.67% (-0.079 -0.08)
0-1 @ 2.57% (-0.031 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.75% (-0.055 -0.05)
0-2 @ 1.38% (-0.037 -0.04)
1-3 @ 1.31% (-0.048 -0.05)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 12.97%

How you voted: Los Angeles vs Earthquakes

Los Angeles FC
100%
Draw
0.0%
San Jose Earthquakes
0.0%
12
Head to Head
Jun 23, 2024 3.30am
Los Angeles
6-2
Earthquakes
Bogusz (15', 48'), Bouanga (26'), Kamara (33'), Hollingshead (42'), Angel (87')
Rodrigues (45+3'), Kikanovic (57')
Costa (46')
> Preview
May 5, 2024 12.30am
Earthquakes
3-1
Los Angeles
Rodrigues (5'), Pellegrino (55'), Bouanga (59' og.)
Skahan (10'), Costa (75')
Olivera (69')
Chanot (25'), Palencia (61')
> Preview
Jul 9, 2023 3.30am
Los Angeles
1-1
Earthquakes
Espinoza (30')
Mensah (22'), Gonzalez (23'), Gruezo (27'), Marcinkowski (90+2')
Brito (56')
> Preview
May 21, 2023 3.30am
Los Angeles
2-1
Earthquakes
Biuk (3'), Vela (90+5' pen.)
Maldonado (29')
Trauco (52')
Judson (89'), Beason (90+5')
> Preview
May 7, 2023 12.30am
Earthquakes
2-1
Los Angeles
> Preview