Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 71.73%. A draw had a probability of 16.3% and a win for Austin FC had a probability of 11.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.37%) and 3-0 (8.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.42%), while for an Austin FC win it was 1-2 (3.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Los Angeles FC in this match.