Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CF Montreal win with a probability of 47.21%. A win for New England Revolution had a probability of 29.67% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a CF Montreal win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.62%) and 2-0 (6.79%). The likeliest New England Revolution win was 1-2 (7.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.44%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| CF Montreal | Draw | New England Revolution |
| 47.21% ( | 23.12% ( | 29.67% ( |
| Both teams to score 62.03% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.98% ( | 39.02% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.66% ( | 61.34% ( |
| CF Montreal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.15% ( | 16.85% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.14% ( | 46.86% ( |
| New England Revolution Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.6% ( | 25.4% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.79% ( | 60.21% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| CF Montreal | Draw | New England Revolution |
| 2-1 @ 9.3% ( 1-0 @ 7.62% ( 2-0 @ 6.79% ( 3-1 @ 5.52% 3-0 @ 4.03% ( 3-2 @ 3.78% 4-1 @ 2.46% 4-0 @ 1.79% 4-2 @ 1.68% Other @ 4.24% Total : 47.21% | 1-1 @ 10.44% 2-2 @ 6.37% 0-0 @ 4.28% ( 3-3 @ 1.73% Other @ 0.29% Total : 23.11% | 1-2 @ 7.16% 0-1 @ 5.87% 0-2 @ 4.02% 1-3 @ 3.27% ( 2-3 @ 2.91% ( 0-3 @ 1.84% ( 1-4 @ 1.12% ( 2-4 @ 1% Other @ 2.49% Total : 29.67% |