Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New England Revolution win with a probability of 57.06%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for St Louis City had a probability of 21.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.59%) and 2-0 (8.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.87%), while for a St Louis City win it was 1-2 (5.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-2 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| New England Revolution | Draw | St Louis City |
| 57.06% ( | 21.5% ( | 21.45% ( |
| Both teams to score 59.03% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.89% ( | 39.11% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.56% ( | 61.44% ( |
| New England Revolution Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.44% ( | 13.56% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.35% ( | 40.64% ( |
| St Louis City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.28% ( | 31.72% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.86% ( | 68.14% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| New England Revolution | Draw | St Louis City |
| 2-1 @ 9.86% ( 1-0 @ 8.59% ( 2-0 @ 8.59% ( 3-1 @ 6.57% ( 3-0 @ 5.72% ( 3-2 @ 3.77% ( 4-1 @ 3.28% ( 4-0 @ 2.86% ( 4-2 @ 1.88% ( 5-1 @ 1.31% ( 5-0 @ 1.14% ( Other @ 3.49% Total : 57.06% | 1-1 @ 9.87% ( 2-2 @ 5.66% ( 0-0 @ 4.3% ( 3-3 @ 1.44% ( Other @ 0.23% Total : 21.5% | 1-2 @ 5.67% ( 0-1 @ 4.94% ( 0-2 @ 2.84% ( 1-3 @ 2.17% ( 2-3 @ 2.17% ( 0-3 @ 1.09% ( Other @ 2.59% Total : 21.45% |