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Major League Soccer
Sep 8, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Gillette Stadium
St Louis City

New England
2 - 2
St Louis City

Langoni (28', 28'), Gil (40', 40')
Vrioni (16'), Vrioni (16')
FT(HT: 4-2)
Kessler (23', 23'), Becher (73', 73')
Horn (21'), Horn (21'), Kessler (51'), Kessler (51'), Lowen (56'), Lowen (56'), Teuchert (59'), Teuchert (59')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between New England Revolution and St Louis City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: St Louis City 2-1 LA Galaxy
Sunday, September 1 at 7.45pm in Major League Soccer

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New England Revolution win with a probability of 57.06%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for St Louis City had a probability of 21.45%.

The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.59%) and 2-0 (8.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.87%), while for a St Louis City win it was 1-2 (5.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-2 draw for this match.

Result
New England RevolutionDrawSt Louis City
57.06% (-0.236 -0.24)21.5% (0.057000000000002 0.06)21.45% (0.179 0.18)
Both teams to score 59.03% (0.064 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.89% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)39.11% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.56% (-0.041000000000004 -0.04)61.44% (0.042000000000002 0.04)
New England Revolution Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.44% (-0.085000000000008 -0.09)13.56% (0.087 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.35% (-0.171 -0.17)40.64% (0.171 0.17)
St Louis City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.28% (0.14100000000001 0.14)31.72% (-0.141 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.86% (0.161 0.16)68.14% (-0.16200000000001 -0.16)
Score Analysis
    New England Revolution 57.06%
    St Louis City 21.45%
    Draw 21.5%
New England RevolutionDrawSt Louis City
2-1 @ 9.86% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-0 @ 8.59% (-0.011000000000001 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.59% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
3-1 @ 6.57% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-0 @ 5.72% (-0.044 -0.04)
3-2 @ 3.77% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 3.28% (-0.022 -0.02)
4-0 @ 2.86% (-0.031 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.88% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.31% (-0.013 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.14% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 3.49%
Total : 57.06%
1-1 @ 9.87% (0.025 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.66% (0.018 0.02)
0-0 @ 4.3% (0.008 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.44% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 21.5%
1-2 @ 5.67% (0.037 0.04)
0-1 @ 4.94% (0.028 0.03)
0-2 @ 2.84% (0.027 0.03)
1-3 @ 2.17% (0.022 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.17% (0.016 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.09% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 21.45%

How you voted: New England vs St Louis City

New England Revolution
55.0%
Draw
32.5%
St Louis City
12.5%
40