Leagues Cup | Round of 16
Aug 14, 2024 at 3.30am UK
Estadio Azteca
St Louis City

America
4 - 2
St Louis City

Rodriguez (15', 15', 86' pen., 86' pen.), Valdes (79', 79'), Aguirre (90+8', 90+8')
Jardine (0'), Valdes (45+3'), Valdes (45+3'), Malagon (90+4'), Malagon (90+4')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Vassilev (50', 50'), Lowen (53' pen., 53' pen.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Leagues Cup clash between Club America and St Louis City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Club America

All competitions
Leagues Cup
Last Game: America 2-1 Atlas
Saturday, August 10 at 3am in Leagues Cup

St Louis City

All competitions
Leagues Cup
Last Game: St Louis City 3-1 Portland
Saturday, August 10 at 1.30am in Leagues Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club America win with a probability of 73.39%. A draw had a probability of 15.8% and a win for St Louis City had a probability of 10.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a Club America win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.28%) and 3-0 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.3%), while for a St Louis City win it was 1-2 (3.2%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Club America would win this match.

Result
Club AmericaDrawSt Louis City
73.39% (0.0019999999999953 0)15.81% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)10.79% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
Both teams to score 53.8% (-0.065000000000005 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.38% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)33.62% (0.060000000000002 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.56% (-0.071000000000005 -0.07)55.43% (0.069000000000003 0.07)
Club America Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.12% (-0.015999999999991 -0.02)7.88% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
72.1% (-0.037000000000006 -0.04)27.89% (0.035 0.04)
St Louis City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.4% (-0.061 -0.06)41.59% (0.058 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.92% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)78.08% (0.052000000000007 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Club America 73.38%
    St Louis City 10.79%
    Draw 15.81%
Club AmericaDrawSt Louis City
2-0 @ 10.57% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.28% (0.0019999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 8.96% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-0 @ 8.33% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
3-1 @ 7.86% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
4-0 @ 5.69% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 4.99% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.45% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
5-0 @ 2.89%
5-1 @ 2.54% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
4-2 @ 2.19% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
6-0 @ 1.23% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
5-2 @ 1.11% (-0.004 -0)
6-1 @ 1.08% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 73.38%
1-1 @ 7.3% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.07% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
0-0 @ 3.28% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.01% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 15.81%
1-2 @ 3.2% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-1 @ 2.87% (0.004 0)
0-2 @ 1.26%
2-3 @ 1.19% (-0.004 -0)
1-3 @ 0.94% (-0.0019999999999999 -0)
Other @ 1.33%
Total : 10.79%

rhs 2.0


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