Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club America win with a probability of 73.39%. A draw had a probability of 15.8% and a win for St Louis City had a probability of 10.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Club America win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.28%) and 3-0 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.3%), while for a St Louis City win it was 1-2 (3.2%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Club America would win this match.