St Louis City
Leagues Cup | Round of 32
Aug 10, 2024 at 1.30am UK
CityPark
Portland Timbers

St Louis City
3 - 1
Portland

Teuchert (51', 51'), Hartel (83', 83'), Becher (88', 88')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Bravo (54', 54')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Leagues Cup clash between St Louis City and Portland Timbers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

St Louis City

All competitions
Leagues Cup
Last Game: St Louis City 1-1 Juarez (1-5 pen.)
Monday, August 5 at 2am in Leagues Cup

Portland Timbers

All competitions
Leagues Cup
Last Game: Portland 4-0 Colorado
Friday, August 2 at 3.30am in Leagues Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Louis City win with a probability of 40.96%. A win for Portland Timbers had a probability of 34.58% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Louis City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.09%) and 2-0 (6.26%). The likeliest Portland Timbers win was 1-2 (7.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.35%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Louis City would win this match.

Result
St Louis CityDrawPortland Timbers
40.96% (-0.551 -0.55)24.46% (0.146 0.15)34.58% (0.404 0.4)
Both teams to score 59.37% (-0.422 -0.42)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.56% (-0.597 -0.6)43.44% (0.596 0.6)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.17% (-0.589 -0.59)65.83% (0.58800000000001 0.59)
St Louis City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.71% (-0.509 -0.51)21.28% (0.508 0.51)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.78% (-0.794 -0.79)54.21% (0.794 0.79)
Portland Timbers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.42% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)24.58% (0.048000000000002 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.93% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)59.07% (0.067 0.07)
Score Analysis
    St Louis City 40.96%
    Portland Timbers 34.58%
    Draw 24.45%
St Louis CityDrawPortland Timbers
2-1 @ 8.79% (-0.055 -0.05)
1-0 @ 8.09% (0.086 0.09)
2-0 @ 6.26% (-0.03 -0.03)
3-1 @ 4.53% (-0.1 -0.1)
3-0 @ 3.23% (-0.067 -0.07)
3-2 @ 3.18% (-0.075 -0.07)
4-1 @ 1.75% (-0.067 -0.07)
4-0 @ 1.25% (-0.046 -0.05)
4-2 @ 1.23% (-0.049 -0.05)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 40.96%
1-1 @ 11.35% (0.1 0.1)
2-2 @ 6.17% (-0.048 -0.05)
0-0 @ 5.23% (0.135 0.14)
3-3 @ 1.49% (-0.037 -0.04)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.45%
1-2 @ 7.97% (0.062 0.06)
0-1 @ 7.34% (0.18 0.18)
0-2 @ 5.15% (0.12 0.12)
1-3 @ 3.73% (0.024 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.88% (-0.026 -0.03)
0-3 @ 2.41% (0.052 0.05)
1-4 @ 1.31% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.01% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 34.58%

How you voted: St Louis City vs Portland

St Louis City
10.0%
Draw
0.0%
Portland Timbers
90.0%
20
Head to Head
Jun 9, 2024 1.30am
St Louis City
0-0
Portland
Nilsson (45+4'), Markanich (45+2'), Kijima (51'), Pompeu (67'), Durkin (81'), Totland (83')
Zuparic (53'), Lowen (82'), Mora (83')
> Preview
Apr 30, 2023 1.30am
St Louis City
1-2
Portland
> Preview
Mar 12, 2023 3.30am
Portland
1-2
St Louis City
McGraw (3')
Stroud (45+1'), Hiebert (75')
> Preview