Major League Soccer

Aug 25, 2024 at 3.30am UK

Providence Park

Portland
4 - 4
St Louis City

Rodriguez (39', 39'), Mora (57', 57', 65', 65'), Evander (90+10', 90+10')
Araujo (34'), Araujo (34'), Evander (65'), Evander (65'), Rodriguez (73'), Rodriguez (73'), Williamson (77'), Williamson (77')

FT(HT: 2-6)

Becher (11', 11'), Lowen (34' pen., 34' pen.), Teuchert (45+2', 45+2'), Thorisson (58', 58')
Thorisson (50'), Thorisson (50'), Hartel (60'), Hartel (60'), Horn (89'), Horn (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Portland Timbers and St Louis City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Portland Timbers

All competitions

Major League Soccer

Last Game: St Louis City 3-1 Portland
Saturday, August 10 at 1.30am in Leagues Cup

Goals
for

St Louis City

All competitions

Major League Soccer

Last Game: America 4-2 St Louis City
Wednesday, August 14 at 3.30am in Leagues Cup

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portland Timbers win with a probability of 68.24%. A draw had a probability of 17.2% and a win for St Louis City had a probability of 14.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portland Timbers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.61%) and 3-1 (7.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.48%), while for a St Louis City win it was 1-2 (4.08%). The actual scoreline of 4-4 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Portland Timbers	Draw	St Louis City
68.24% ( 0.06)	17.18% ( -0.02)	14.58% ( -0.04)

Both teams to score 60.98% (

-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

69.71% (

-0.02)

30.28% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

48.46% (

-0.02)

51.53% (

0.02)

Portland Timbers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

91.86% (

0.01)

8.13% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

71.46% (

0.02)

28.54% (

-0.02)

St Louis City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.38% (

-0.07)

33.62% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.73% (

-0.07)

70.26% (

0.07)

Score Analysis

Portland Timbers 68.24%

St Louis City 14.58%

Draw 17.18%

Portland Timbers	Draw	St Louis City
2-1 @ 9.38% 2-0 @ 8.61% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 7.85% ( 0) 3-0 @ 7.2% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 6.86% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 4.92% ( 0) 4-0 @ 4.52% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 4.28% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 2.68% ( -0) 5-1 @ 2.47% ( 0) 5-0 @ 2.27% ( 0.01) 5-2 @ 1.35% ( -0) 6-1 @ 1.03% ( 0) 4-3 @ 0.98% ( -0) 6-0 @ 0.95% ( 0) Other @ 2.9% Total : 68.24%	1-1 @ 7.48% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.12% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 2.73% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.56% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.3% Total : 17.18%	1-2 @ 4.08% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 2.98% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.86% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 1.62% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.48% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.56% Total : 14.58%