Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Louis City win with a probability of 39.16%. A win for Los Angeles Galaxy had a probability of 37.25% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Louis City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.81%) and 2-0 (5.45%). The likeliest Los Angeles Galaxy win was 1-2 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for St Louis City in this match.