Leagues Cup | Group Stage
Aug 5, 2024 at 3.30am UK
Dignity Health Sports Park
LA Galaxy

Guadalajara
2 - 2
LA Galaxy

Mozo (8', 8'), Cowell (90+3', 90+3')
Gago (0'), Gago (0'), Briseno (13'), Briseno (13'), Gonzalez (45+3'), Marin (45+2'), Gonzalez (45+3'), Marin (45+2'), Sepulveda (81'), Sepulveda (81'), Olivas (90+4'), Olivas (90+4')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Paintsil (11', 11'), Pec (67', 67')
Caceres (45+3'), Caceres (45+3')
LA Galaxy win 5-4 on penalties

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Leagues Cup clash between CD Guadalajara and Los Angeles Galaxy, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

CD Guadalajara

All competitions
Leagues Cup
Last Game: Guadalajara 1-1 Earthquakes (0-0 pen.)
Sunday, July 28 at 3am in Leagues Cup

Los Angeles Galaxy

All competitions
Leagues Cup
Last Game: Earthquakes 1-2 LA Galaxy
Thursday, August 1 at 3.30am in Leagues Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CD Guadalajara win with a probability of 45.06%. A win for Los Angeles Galaxy had a probability of 31.09% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a CD Guadalajara win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.11%) and 2-0 (6.79%). The likeliest Los Angeles Galaxy win was 1-2 (7.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
CD GuadalajaraDrawLos Angeles Galaxy
45.06% (-0.081000000000003 -0.08)23.85% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)31.09% (0.074000000000002 0.07)
Both teams to score 60.24% (0.017000000000003 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.26% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)41.73% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.86% (0.0049999999999955 0)64.13% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
CD Guadalajara Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.23% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)18.76% (0.029999999999998 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.84% (-0.052 -0.05)50.16% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Los Angeles Galaxy Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.15% (0.050000000000011 0.05)25.84% (-0.052 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.18% (0.067 0.07)60.81% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    CD Guadalajara 45.06%
    Los Angeles Galaxy 31.09%
    Draw 23.84%
CD GuadalajaraDrawLos Angeles Galaxy
2-1 @ 9.19% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-0 @ 8.11% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.79% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
3-1 @ 5.12% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.79% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.47% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 2.14% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.58% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.45% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.42%
Total : 45.06%
1-1 @ 10.97%
2-2 @ 6.21% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-0 @ 4.85% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-3 @ 1.56% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 23.84%
1-2 @ 7.43% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
0-1 @ 6.56% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.44% (0.012 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.35% (0.01 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.8% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
0-3 @ 2% (0.0079999999999998 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.13% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
2-4 @ 0.95% (0.003 0)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 31.09%

How you voted: Guadalajara vs LA Galaxy

CD Guadalajara
19.4%
Draw
25.0%
Los Angeles Galaxy
55.6%
36
Head to Head
Aug 4, 2022 1.30am
Club Friendlies
LA Galaxy
2-0
Guadalajara
Joveljic (28'), Perez (62')
Coulibaly (38'), Kljestan (57')

Briseno (56')