Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles Galaxy win with a probability of 50.21%. A win for Atlanta United had a probability of 28.2% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles Galaxy win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.23%) and 1-0 (6.2%). The likeliest Atlanta United win was 1-2 (6.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Los Angeles Galaxy would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Los Angeles Galaxy | Draw | Atlanta United |
| 50.21% ( | 21.58% ( | 28.2% ( |
| Both teams to score 66.65% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.5% ( | 32.5% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.85% ( | 54.15% ( |
| Los Angeles Galaxy Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.59% ( | 13.41% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.64% ( | 40.35% ( |
| Atlanta United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.97% ( | 23.03% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.16% ( | 56.84% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Los Angeles Galaxy | Draw | Atlanta United |
| 2-1 @ 9.15% ( 2-0 @ 6.23% ( 1-0 @ 6.2% ( 3-1 @ 6.13% ( 3-2 @ 4.5% ( 3-0 @ 4.17% ( 4-1 @ 3.08% ( 4-2 @ 2.26% ( 4-0 @ 2.1% ( 5-1 @ 1.24% ( 4-3 @ 1.11% ( 5-2 @ 0.91% ( Other @ 3.13% Total : 50.21% | 1-1 @ 9.11% ( 2-2 @ 6.72% 0-0 @ 3.09% ( 3-3 @ 2.2% ( Other @ 0.46% Total : 21.58% | 1-2 @ 6.69% ( 0-1 @ 4.54% ( 0-2 @ 3.33% ( 2-3 @ 3.29% ( 1-3 @ 3.28% ( 0-3 @ 1.63% ( 2-4 @ 1.21% ( 1-4 @ 1.2% ( Other @ 3.04% Total : 28.2% |