Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai Port win with a probability of 64.22%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Changchun Yatai had a probability of 16.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai Port win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.74%) and 0-1 (8.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.99%), while for a Changchun Yatai win it was 2-1 (4.56%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shanghai Port would win this match.