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Major League Soccer
Aug 21, 2023 at 12.30am UK
Yankee Stadium
Minnesota United

NY City
0 - 2
Minnesota Utd


Sands (32'), Pellegrini (39')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Gregus (53'), Garcia (90+5')
Trapp (60'), Reynoso (62')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between New York City FC and Minnesota United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Philadelphia 2-1 NY City
Sunday, July 16 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Minnesota Utd 1-1 Los Angeles
Sunday, July 16 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: New York City FC 2-1 Minnesota United

The Pigeons have been underwhelming through much of the 2023 campaign but made some good signings during the secondary transfer window, which should enable them to be more clinical in the attacking third. Meanwhile, Minnesota have been a lot more potent in front of goal lately but not nearly as sharp on the back end, and we expect them to give up as many chances as they create on Sunday.

How to watch

You can watch New York City FC vs. Minnesota United and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 55.52%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Minnesota United had a probability of 21.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.87%) and 2-0 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.75%), while for a Minnesota United win it was 0-1 (5.86%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.

Result
New York City FCDrawMinnesota United
55.52% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02) 22.79% (0.0019999999999989 0) 21.68% (0.014999999999997 0.01)
Both teams to score 54.9% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.27% (0.0030000000000001 0)44.72% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.91% (0.0030000000000001 0)67.08% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
New York City FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.04% (-0.0080000000000098 -0.01)15.96% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.75% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)45.25% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Minnesota United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.33% (0.015000000000001 0.02)34.66% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.61% (0.016999999999999 0.02)71.39% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    New York City FC 55.52%
    Minnesota United 21.68%
    Draw 22.79%
New York City FCDrawMinnesota United
1-0 @ 10.15%
2-1 @ 9.87% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 9.32% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.04% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 5.7% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-2 @ 3.2% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 2.77% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 2.61% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-2 @ 1.47%
5-1 @ 1.02% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-0 @ 0.96% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 55.52%
1-1 @ 10.75%
0-0 @ 5.53% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-2 @ 5.23% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 1.13%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 22.79%
0-1 @ 5.86% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-2 @ 5.7% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 3.11% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 2.01% (0.0020000000000002 0)
2-3 @ 1.85% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 1.1% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 21.68%

How you voted: NY City vs Minnesota Utd

New York City FC
71.4%
Draw
14.3%
Minnesota United
14.3%
7
Head to Head
Apr 13, 2019 10pm
Gameweek 8
Minnesota Utd
3-3
NY City
Alonso (13'), Rodriguez (20'), Johnson (32' og.)
Alonso (8'), Calvo (70')
Castellanos (16'), Tajouri (18', 64')
Sep 30, 2018 1am
Gameweek 36
Minnesota Utd
2-1
NY City
Rodriguez (20', 36')
Warner (45'), Calvo (54'), Shuttleworth (89')
Warner (77')
Wallace (91')
Ring (21')
Jun 30, 2017 12.30am
NY City
3-1
Minnesota Utd
Callens (38'), Harrison (52'), Villa (63')
Wallace (0'), 68 (0'), Villa (45')
Ramirez (9')
Molino (23'), Venegas (45')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami1594236201631
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati149321911830
3New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls146532521423
4New York City FCNY City147251816223
5Toronto147162120122
6Columbus Crew135621913621
7Charlotte FCCharlotte FC146351413121
8Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia134542521417
9DC United144552024-417
10Orlando City134451520-516
11Nashville SCNashville133641720-315
12Atlanta UnitedAtlanta133461716113
13CF MontrealMontreal133371731-1412
14Chicago Fire142481326-1310
15New England RevolutionNew England12219925-167

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake1484227141328
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd127322114724
3Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy145722521422
4Austin FCAustin146441917222
5Los Angeles FCLos Angeles136342419521
6Colorado RapidsColorado146352423121
7Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver135441915419
8Houston DynamoHouston135351213-118
9St Louis City133731920-116
10Seattle SoundersSeattle143561617-114
11Portland TimbersPortland143472629-313
12Dallas123361317-412
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas132562124-311
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes1431102233-1110


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