Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lorient win with a probability of 42.93%. A win for Clermont had a probability of 31.93% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lorient win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.99%) and 2-0 (7.07%). The likeliest Clermont win was 0-1 (7.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lorient would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lorient | Draw | Clermont |
| 42.93% ( | 25.14% ( | 31.93% ( |
| Both teams to score 56.14% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.72% ( | 47.27% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.5% ( | 69.5% ( |
| Lorient Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78% ( | 21.99% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.7% ( | 55.3% ( |
| Clermont Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.96% ( | 28.03% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.31% ( | 63.68% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Lorient | Draw | Clermont |
| 1-0 @ 9.34% ( 2-1 @ 8.99% ( 2-0 @ 7.07% ( 3-1 @ 4.54% ( 3-0 @ 3.57% ( 3-2 @ 2.89% ( 4-1 @ 1.72% ( 4-0 @ 1.35% ( 4-2 @ 1.09% ( Other @ 2.37% Total : 42.93% | 1-1 @ 11.87% ( 0-0 @ 6.17% ( 2-2 @ 5.72% ( 3-3 @ 1.22% ( Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.14% | 0-1 @ 7.84% ( 1-2 @ 7.55% ( 0-2 @ 4.99% ( 1-3 @ 3.2% ( 2-3 @ 2.42% ( 0-3 @ 2.11% ( 1-4 @ 1.02% ( Other @ 2.79% Total : 31.93% |