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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 34
May 19, 2024 at 8pm UK
Stade Yves Allainmat - Le Moustoir
Clermont Foot

Lorient
5 - 0
Clermont

Abergel (38'), Bamba (42' pen.), Bouanani (54'), Dieng (63', 90+1')
Laporte (20'), Dieng (69'), Ponceau (72')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Magnin (12'), Gastien (43'), Allevinah (72'), Diaw (90+3')

The Match

Match Report

Lorient suffer an automatic relegation from Ligue 1 in the most heartbreaking circumstances as Metz survive by the skin of their teeth on the final day.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Lorient and Clermont, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Marseille 3-1 Lorient
Sunday, May 12 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Clermont 0-1 Lyon
Sunday, May 12 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lorient win with a probability of 42.93%. A win for Clermont had a probability of 31.93% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lorient win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.99%) and 2-0 (7.07%). The likeliest Clermont win was 0-1 (7.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lorient would win this match.

Result
LorientDrawClermont
42.93% (0.355 0.35)25.14% (-0.143 -0.14)31.93% (-0.214 -0.21)
Both teams to score 56.14% (0.402 0.4)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.72% (0.559 0.56)47.27% (-0.561 -0.56)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.5% (0.517 0.52)69.5% (-0.51900000000001 -0.52)
Lorient Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78% (0.408 0.41)21.99% (-0.41 -0.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.7% (0.614 0.61)55.3% (-0.616 -0.62)
Clermont Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.96% (0.137 0.14)28.03% (-0.14 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.31% (0.175 0.18)63.68% (-0.177 -0.18)
Score Analysis
    Lorient 42.93%
    Clermont 31.93%
    Draw 25.14%
LorientDrawClermont
1-0 @ 9.34% (-0.104 -0.1)
2-1 @ 8.99% (0.045000000000002 0.05)
2-0 @ 7.07% (0.008 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.54% (0.077999999999999 0.08)
3-0 @ 3.57% (0.047 0.05)
3-2 @ 2.89% (0.06 0.06)
4-1 @ 1.72% (0.05 0.05)
4-0 @ 1.35% (0.034 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.09% (0.036 0.04)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 42.93%
1-1 @ 11.87% (-0.090000000000002 -0.09)
0-0 @ 6.17% (-0.146 -0.15)
2-2 @ 5.72% (0.051 0.05)
3-3 @ 1.22% (0.031 0.03)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.14%
0-1 @ 7.84% (-0.154 -0.15)
1-2 @ 7.55% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
0-2 @ 4.99% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
1-3 @ 3.2% (0.0020000000000002 0)
2-3 @ 2.42% (0.031 0.03)
0-3 @ 2.11% (-0.025 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.02% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 31.93%

How you voted: Lorient vs Clermont

Lorient
64.3%
Draw
14.3%
Clermont
21.4%
28
Head to Head
Nov 12, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 12
Clermont
1-0
Lorient
Nicholson (69' pen.)
Oumar Konate (10'), Cham (47'), Seidu (85')

Toure (51'), Mendy (57')
May 27, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 37
Clermont
2-0
Lorient
Khaoui (44'), Caufriez (74')
Aug 28, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 4
Lorient
2-1
Clermont
Moffi (24' pen., 41')
Kalulu (15')
Cham Saracevic (62')
Borges (22'), Gonalons (39'), Gastien (90+5')
Borges (48')
Mar 13, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 28
Clermont
0-2
Lorient

Gastien (49')
Kone (72'), Petrot (76')
Innocent (53'), Kone (83')
Oct 3, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 9
Lorient
1-1
Clermont
Laporte (54')
Jenz (55'), Laporte (79')
Bayo (15')
Gastien (24')