Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maccabi Netanya win with a probability of 49.14%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Hapoel Petah Tikva had a probability of 24.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maccabi Netanya win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.49%) and 1-2 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.37%), while for a Hapoel Petah Tikva win it was 1-0 (8.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Maccabi Netanya would win this match.