Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Beitar Jerusalem win with a probability of 46.04%. A win for Hapoel Petah Tikva had a probability of 27.66% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Beitar Jerusalem win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.06%) and 0-2 (8.53%). The likeliest Hapoel Petah Tikva win was 1-0 (8.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Beitar Jerusalem would win this match.