Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hapoel Tel Aviv win with a probability of 36.72%. A win for Hapoel Petah Tikva had a probability of 35.6% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hapoel Tel Aviv win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.91%) and 2-0 (6.66%). The likeliest Hapoel Petah Tikva win was 0-1 (10.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.