Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hapoel Petah Tikva win with a probability of 44.32%. A win for Ashdod had a probability of 28.54% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hapoel Petah Tikva win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.76%) and 0-2 (8.41%). The likeliest Ashdod win was 1-0 (9.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.