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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United Under-23s win with a probability of 47.39%. A win for Crystal Palace Under-23s had a probability of 30.7% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United Under-23s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.98%) and 2-0 (5.82%). The likeliest Crystal Palace Under-23s win was 1-2 (7.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newcastle United Under-23s would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Newcastle United Under-23s | Draw | Crystal Palace Under-23s |
| 47.39% | 21.9% | 30.7% |
| Both teams to score 67.27% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.57% | 32.42% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.94% | 54.06% |
| Newcastle United Under-23s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.7% | 14.3% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.89% | 42.11% |
| Crystal Palace Under-23s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.49% | 21.51% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.44% | 54.56% |
| Score Analysis |
| Newcastle United Under-23s | Draw | Crystal Palace Under-23s |
| 2-1 @ 8.94% 1-0 @ 5.98% 2-0 @ 5.82% 3-1 @ 5.8% 3-2 @ 4.45% 3-0 @ 3.77% 4-1 @ 2.82% 4-2 @ 2.17% 4-0 @ 1.83% 4-3 @ 1.11% 5-1 @ 1.1% Other @ 3.61% Total : 47.39% | 1-1 @ 9.19% 2-2 @ 6.87% 0-0 @ 3.08% 3-3 @ 2.28% Other @ 0.48% Total : 21.9% | 1-2 @ 7.06% 0-1 @ 4.73% 0-2 @ 3.63% 1-3 @ 3.62% 2-3 @ 3.52% 0-3 @ 1.86% 1-4 @ 1.39% 2-4 @ 1.35% Other @ 3.55% Total : 30.7% |
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