Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boavista win with a probability of 41.67%. A win for Arouca had a probability of 31.92% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boavista win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.72%) and 2-0 (7.39%). The likeliest Arouca win was 0-1 (9.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Boavista | Draw | Arouca |
41.67% ( 1.05) | 26.41% ( -0.23) | 31.92% ( -0.83) |
Both teams to score 51.98% ( 0.45) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.34% ( 0.7) | 52.66% ( -0.7) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.7% ( 0.6) | 74.3% ( -0.6) |
Boavista Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.03% ( 0.87) | 24.97% ( -0.87) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.39% ( 1.19) | 59.61% ( -1.19) |
Arouca Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.28% ( -0.2) | 30.72% ( 0.2) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.02% ( -0.24) | 66.98% ( 0.24) |
Score Analysis |
Boavista | Draw | Arouca |
1-0 @ 10.64% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 8.72% ( 0.14) 2-0 @ 7.39% ( 0.16) 3-1 @ 4.03% ( 0.17) 3-0 @ 3.42% ( 0.16) 3-2 @ 2.38% ( 0.09) 4-1 @ 1.4% ( 0.09) 4-0 @ 1.19% ( 0.08) Other @ 2.52% Total : 41.67% | 1-1 @ 12.56% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 7.67% ( -0.22) 2-2 @ 5.14% ( 0.06) 3-3 @ 0.94% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.41% | 0-1 @ 9.05% ( -0.31) 1-2 @ 7.41% ( -0.1) 0-2 @ 5.34% ( -0.21) 1-3 @ 2.92% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 2.1% ( -0.1) 2-3 @ 2.02% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.07% Total : 31.92% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 30 | 26 | 2 | 2 | 87 | 27 | 60 | 80 |
2 | Benfica | 31 | 24 | 4 | 3 | 71 | 25 | 46 | 76 |
3 | Porto | 30 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 55 | 24 | 31 | 62 |
4 | Braga | 31 | 19 | 5 | 7 | 64 | 44 | 20 | 62 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 31 | 18 | 6 | 7 | 46 | 32 | 14 | 60 |
6 | AroucaArouca | 31 | 13 | 6 | 12 | 53 | 42 | 11 | 45 |
7 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 30 | 12 | 7 | 11 | 30 | 34 | -4 | 43 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 30 | 8 | 12 | 10 | 33 | 38 | -5 | 36 |
9 | Casa Pia | 31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 33 | 44 | -11 | 35 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 31 | 5 | 17 | 9 | 33 | 39 | -6 | 32 |
11 | Gil Vicente | 31 | 8 | 8 | 15 | 39 | 50 | -11 | 32 |
12 | SC FarenseFarense | 30 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 39 | 44 | -5 | 31 |
13 | BoavistaBoavista | 31 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 35 | 57 | -22 | 30 |
14 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 30 | 8 | 6 | 16 | 45 | 52 | -7 | 30 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 30 | 6 | 11 | 13 | 32 | 46 | -14 | 29 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 30 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 34 | 64 | -30 | 28 |
17 | ChavesChaves | 31 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 31 | 65 | -34 | 23 |
18 | Vizela | 31 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 30 | 63 | -33 | 22 |
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