NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 5
Apr 27, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
The Showgrounds

Newry City AFC
1 - 4
Loughgall

McKeown (23')
Moan (31'), Poynton (48'), Scullion (53'), Mooney (72')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Hoey (11'), Strain (16'), Murdock (86'), McAleer (90+3')
Strain (31'), Cartwright (79')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Newry City AFC and Loughgall.

Form, Standings, Stats

Newry City AFC

All competitions
Last Game: Ballymena 4-0 Newry City AFC
Saturday, April 20 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership

Loughgall

All competitions
Last Game: Carrick 2-1 Loughgall
Saturday, April 20 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Loughgall win with a probability of 58.21%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Newry City AFC had a probability of 19.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a Loughgall win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.95%) and 1-2 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.51%), while for a Newry City AFC win it was 1-0 (5.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Loughgall would win this match.

Result
Newry City AFCDrawLoughgall
19.58%22.21% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)58.21% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Both teams to score 53.58% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.09%44.91% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.74% (0.00099999999999767 0)67.26% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Newry City AFC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.13% (0.00099999999999767 0)36.87% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.34%73.66% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Loughgall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.87% (-0.0020000000000095 -0)15.13% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.3% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)43.7% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Score Analysis
    Newry City AFC 19.58%
    Loughgall 58.21%
    Draw 22.21%
Newry City AFCDrawLoughgall
1-0 @ 5.57%
2-1 @ 5.24%
2-0 @ 2.78%
3-1 @ 1.74%
3-2 @ 1.65%
3-0 @ 0.92%
Other @ 1.68%
Total : 19.58%
1-1 @ 10.51%
0-0 @ 5.58% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-2 @ 4.95%
3-3 @ 1.04%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 22.21%
0-1 @ 10.53%
0-2 @ 9.95% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-2 @ 9.93%
0-3 @ 6.26%
1-3 @ 6.25%
2-3 @ 3.12%
0-4 @ 2.96% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-4 @ 2.95%
2-4 @ 1.47%
0-5 @ 1.12%
1-5 @ 1.12%
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 58.21%

Head to Head
Feb 13, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 26
Loughgall
0-0
Newry City AFC
Cartwright (12'), Ferris (15'), Loughran (40'), Kelly (52')
Scullion (33'), Forde (64'), McCaffrey (85'), McGivern (89')
Oct 21, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 13
Loughgall
3-1
Newry City AFC
Magee (48', 65', 90+2')
Kelly (76'), Boyd (83'), Loughran (88')
Salley (52')
Forde (31'), Salley (36'), Maguire (72'), Poynton (76'), McKeown (83'), Poynton (83')
Aug 5, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 1
Newry City AFC
0-3
Loughgall

King (2'), Lockhart (15')
Lockhart (90+2')
Loughran (10', 26'), Ferris (23' pen.)
Ferris (17'), Loughran (60'), Hoey (62'), Murdock (66')