Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carrick Rangers win with a probability of 54.48%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Newry City AFC had a probability of 22.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Carrick Rangers win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.6%) and 0-2 (8.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.67%), while for a Newry City AFC win it was 2-1 (5.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Carrick Rangers would win this match.