MX23RW : Friday, July 26 23:36:56| >> :300:86500:86500:
NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 3
Apr 16, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
The Showgrounds

Newry City AFC
1 - 3
Carrick

O'Connor (2')
Gordon (37'), O'Connor (52'), Forde (82')
McCaffrey (45+1')
FT(HT: 1-3)
Allen (30'), Cushley (38' pen.), Purkis (45+6')
Cherry (39'), Gordon (58'), Purkis (79')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Newry City AFC and Carrick Rangers.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Newry City AFC 0-2 Dungannon
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Carrick 2-1 Ballymena
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carrick Rangers win with a probability of 54.48%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Newry City AFC had a probability of 22.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carrick Rangers win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.6%) and 0-2 (8.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.67%), while for a Newry City AFC win it was 2-1 (5.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Carrick Rangers would win this match.

Result
Newry City AFCDrawCarrick Rangers
22.75% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02) 22.77% (0.018999999999998 0.02) 54.48% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Both teams to score 56.47% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.66% (-0.108 -0.11)43.34% (0.10700000000001 0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.26% (-0.106 -0.11)65.74% (0.10599999999999 0.11)
Newry City AFC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.09% (-0.078000000000003 -0.08)32.91% (0.076999999999998 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.51% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)69.49% (0.084999999999994 0.08)
Carrick Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.17% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)15.83% (0.039 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.99% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07)45.01% (0.072000000000003 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Newry City AFC 22.75%
    Carrick Rangers 54.48%
    Draw 22.76%
Newry City AFCDrawCarrick Rangers
2-1 @ 5.93% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-0 @ 5.79% (0.015 0.01)
2-0 @ 3.22% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 2.2% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.03% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.19% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 22.75%
1-1 @ 10.67% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.47% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.21% (0.025 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.24% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 22.76%
1-2 @ 9.84%
0-1 @ 9.6% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
0-2 @ 8.85% (0.019 0.02)
1-3 @ 6.04% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-3 @ 5.44% (0.0040000000000004 0)
2-3 @ 3.36% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-4 @ 2.79% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-4 @ 2.51% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-4 @ 1.55% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-5 @ 1.03% (-0.004 -0)
0-5 @ 0.92% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 54.48%

Head to Head
Mar 9, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 31
Carrick
0-1
Newry City AFC

Crowe (27'), Buchanan-Rolleston (36'), Mackinnon (90+4')
McCaffrey (81')
McGivern (59'), King (74'), King (77'), Doyle (90+4')
Dec 22, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 22
Newry City AFC
0-1
Carrick

Bagnall (42'), McGovern (45+2'), McGivern (55'), Forde (84')
Crowe (59')
Gordon (38'), Macuilaitis (79')
McGuckin (90+5'), McGuckin (90+3')
Aug 12, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 2
Carrick
0-2
Newry City AFC

Mitchell (29'), Crowe (74'), Stewart (89'), Forsythe (90+5')
Forde (14'), Owens (34')
O'Connor (29'), Carroll (45'), Hughes (90')
Carroll (49')
Apr 7, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 1
Carrick
0-2
Newry City AFC
Teelan (25', 36')
Feb 10, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 27
Newry City AFC
0-2
Carrick
McGuckin (27', 47')
rhs 2.0
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