Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carrick Rangers win with a probability of 60.65%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Newry City AFC had a probability of 18.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Carrick Rangers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.03%) and 1-0 (8.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.37%), while for a Newry City AFC win it was 1-2 (5.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.