NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 31
Mar 9, 2024 at 3pm UK
Belfast Loughshore Hotel Arena

Carrick
0 - 1
Newry City AFC


Crowe (27'), Buchanan-Rolleston (36'), Mackinnon (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)
McCaffrey (81')
McGivern (59'), King (74'), King (77'), Doyle (90+4')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Carrick Rangers and Newry City AFC.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Loughgall 3-3 Carrick
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Newry City AFC 0-2 Coleraine
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carrick Rangers win with a probability of 60.65%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Newry City AFC had a probability of 18.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carrick Rangers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.03%) and 1-0 (8.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.37%), while for a Newry City AFC win it was 1-2 (5.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.

Result
Carrick RangersDrawNewry City AFC
60.65% (-0.047999999999995 -0.05)20.44% (0.011000000000003 0.01)18.9% (0.037000000000003 0.04)
Both teams to score 58.48% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.12% (0.021000000000001 0.02)37.87% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.87% (0.024000000000001 0.02)60.13% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Carrick Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.88% (-0.0069999999999908 -0.01)12.11% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.31% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)37.68% (0.012 0.01)
Newry City AFC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.54% (0.052000000000007 0.05)33.46% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.9% (0.058 0.06)70.09% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Carrick Rangers 60.65%
    Newry City AFC 18.9%
    Draw 20.44%
Carrick RangersDrawNewry City AFC
2-1 @ 9.89% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
2-0 @ 9.03% (-0.014000000000001 -0.01)
1-0 @ 8.56% (-0.011000000000001 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.96% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
3-0 @ 6.35% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.81% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 3.67% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-0 @ 3.35% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
4-2 @ 2.01% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-1 @ 1.55% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-0 @ 1.42% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 4.06%
Total : 60.65%
1-1 @ 9.37% (0.0010000000000012 0)
2-2 @ 5.41% (0.008 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.05% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-3 @ 1.39% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 20.44%
1-2 @ 5.13% (0.008 0.01)
0-1 @ 4.44% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 2.43% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 1.98% (0.006 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.87% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 18.9%

Head to Head
Dec 22, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 22
Newry City AFC
0-1
Carrick

Bagnall (42'), McGovern (45+2'), McGivern (55'), Forde (84')
Crowe (59')
Gordon (38'), Macuilaitis (79')
McGuckin (90+5'), McGuckin (90+3')
Aug 12, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 2
Carrick
0-2
Newry City AFC

Mitchell (29'), Crowe (74'), Stewart (89'), Forsythe (90+5')
Forde (14'), Owens (34')
O'Connor (29'), Carroll (45'), Hughes (90')
Carroll (49')
Apr 7, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 1
Carrick
0-2
Newry City AFC
Teelan (25', 36')
Feb 10, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 27
Newry City AFC
0-2
Carrick
McGuckin (27', 47')
Nov 12, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 15
Newry City AFC
4-1
Carrick
Rocks (28'), Donnelly (64'), Teelan (67', 83')
Mitchell (41')