NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 27
Jan 26, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Belfast Loughshore Hotel Arena

Carrick
0 - 1
Cliftonville


Watson (80')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Casey (90+4')
Hale (58')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Carrick Rangers and Cliftonville.

Form, Standings, Stats

Carrick Rangers

All competitions
Last Game: Coleraine 0-2 Carrick
Saturday, January 20 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership

Cliftonville

All competitions
Last Game: Cliftonville 3-0 Ballymena
Saturday, January 20 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cliftonville win with a probability of 67.57%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 13.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cliftonville win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.18%) and 1-2 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.9%), while for a Carrick Rangers win it was 1-0 (4.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cliftonville would win this match.

Result
Carrick RangersDrawCliftonville
13.61% (-0.004999999999999 -0)18.83% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)67.57% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Both teams to score 51.78% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.27%40.74% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.88% (0.0020000000000024 0)63.12% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Carrick Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.24% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)41.76% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.77% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)78.23% (0.010000000000005 0.01)
Cliftonville Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.9% (0.0040000000000049 0)11.1% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.51% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)35.5% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Score Analysis
    Carrick Rangers 13.61%
    Cliftonville 67.56%
    Draw 18.83%
Carrick RangersDrawCliftonville
1-0 @ 4.05%
2-1 @ 3.88% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-0 @ 1.77%
3-2 @ 1.24%
3-1 @ 1.13% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 1.54%
Total : 13.61%
1-1 @ 8.9% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-0 @ 4.64% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-2 @ 4.27% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 0.91%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 18.83%
0-2 @ 11.2% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-1 @ 10.18%
1-2 @ 9.78% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-3 @ 8.21% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 7.17% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-4 @ 4.51% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-4 @ 3.94%
2-3 @ 3.13% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-5 @ 1.98%
1-5 @ 1.73%
2-4 @ 1.72%
Other @ 4.01%
Total : 67.56%

Head to Head
Nov 19, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 17
Carrick
0-3
Cliftonville

Mitchell (23'), Glendinning (71')
Hale (17'), Hale (68'), Mallon (83')
Casey (64'), Hale (73'), Ashford (88')
Aug 19, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 4
Cliftonville
4-0
Carrick
Wilson (6', 42'), Doherty (23' pen.), Hale (64')
Pepper (88')

Cushley (9'), Crowe (60'), McGuckin (90+1')
Jan 13, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 23
Carrick
3-3
Cliftonville
Cushley (30'), Cherry (51'), Anderson (90')
Ives (15'), Moore (31'), Hale (45+4')
Oct 29, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 13
Cliftonville
1-0
Carrick
Curran (77' pen.)
Aug 20, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 2
Cliftonville
3-2
Carrick
Hale (1'), Curran (53' pen.), Gormley (69')
Anderson (38'), Mitchell (43')
Ervin (28')
Surgenor (63')