Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 52.32%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Sevilla had a probability of 20.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.01%) and 2-1 (8.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.24%), while for a Sevilla win it was 0-1 (8.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Sociedad would win this match.
Result | ||
Real Sociedad | Draw | Sevilla |
52.32% ( 0.73) | 26.81% ( 0.19) | 20.87% ( -0.92) |
Both teams to score 42.32% ( -1.56) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
39.18% ( -1.44) | 60.82% ( 1.44) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
19.14% ( -1.09) | 80.85% ( 1.09) |
Real Sociedad Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.52% ( -0.29) | 23.48% ( 0.29) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.49% ( -0.43) | 57.51% ( 0.43) |
Sevilla Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
55.31% ( -1.82) | 44.68% ( 1.81) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.32% ( -1.5) | 80.68% ( 1.5) |
Score Analysis |
Real Sociedad | Draw | Sevilla |
1-0 @ 15.2% ( 0.67) 2-0 @ 11.01% ( 0.4) 2-1 @ 8.87% ( -0.12) 3-0 @ 5.32% ( 0.15) 3-1 @ 4.29% ( -0.1) 4-0 @ 1.93% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 1.73% ( -0.13) 4-1 @ 1.55% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.42% Total : 52.31% | 1-1 @ 12.24% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 10.49% ( 0.55) 2-2 @ 3.57% ( -0.23) Other @ 0.5% Total : 26.8% | 0-1 @ 8.45% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 4.93% ( -0.28) 0-2 @ 3.41% ( -0.16) 1-3 @ 1.33% ( -0.15) 2-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.12) 0-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.88% Total : 20.87% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Madrid | 33 | 26 | 6 | 1 | 71 | 22 | 49 | 84 |
2 | Barcelona | 32 | 21 | 7 | 4 | 64 | 37 | 27 | 70 |
3 | GironaGirona | 32 | 21 | 5 | 6 | 67 | 40 | 27 | 68 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 32 | 19 | 4 | 9 | 59 | 38 | 21 | 61 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 32 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 52 | 30 | 22 | 58 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 33 | 13 | 12 | 8 | 46 | 35 | 11 | 51 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 32 | 12 | 12 | 8 | 40 | 38 | 2 | 48 |
8 | Valencia | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 35 | 34 | 1 | 47 |
9 | Villarreal | 32 | 11 | 9 | 12 | 51 | 55 | -4 | 42 |
10 | Getafe | 32 | 9 | 13 | 10 | 38 | 44 | -6 | 40 |
11 | Osasuna | 32 | 11 | 6 | 15 | 37 | 46 | -9 | 39 |
12 | Sevilla | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 41 | 45 | -4 | 37 |
13 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 30 | 39 | -9 | 37 |
14 | AlavesAlaves | 32 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 28 | 38 | -10 | 35 |
15 | Rayo Vallecano | 32 | 7 | 13 | 12 | 27 | 39 | -12 | 34 |
16 | Celta Vigo | 32 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 37 | 47 | -10 | 31 |
17 | Mallorca | 32 | 6 | 13 | 13 | 26 | 38 | -12 | 31 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 32 | 4 | 13 | 15 | 22 | 45 | -23 | 25 |
19 | Granada | 32 | 3 | 9 | 20 | 33 | 61 | -28 | 18 |
20 | Almeria | 32 | 1 | 11 | 20 | 31 | 64 | -33 | 14 |
> La Liga Full Table |