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Portsmouth
League One | Gameweek 21
Dec 11, 2023 at 8pm UK
Fratton Park
Bolton logo

Portsmouth
2 - 0
Bolton

Shaughnessy (45'), Yengi (88')
Robertson (10'), Sparkes (35'), Rafferty (85')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Thomason (14'), Sheehan (74'), Mendes Gomes (90+2'), Jones (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League One clash between Portsmouth and Bolton Wanderers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Portsmouth 0-1 Bolton Wanderers

Losing their leading marksman before the visit of a Bolton side who have been near-unbreakable in recent games was not on Portsmouth's bingo card, although their extended recuperation period should at least play its part for the hosts. However, given Pompey's recent shortcomings at Fratton Park, Evatt's side have every right to be confident of keeping their hosts at bay, and the effective Adeboyejo-Charles pairing need just one gilt-edged chance to put another twist in the title tale. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 38.61%. A win for Portsmouth had a probability of 36.3% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.47%) and 0-2 (6.11%). The likeliest Portsmouth win was 2-1 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.

Result
PortsmouthDrawBolton Wanderers
36.3% (0.107 0.11) 25.09% (0.094000000000001 0.09) 38.61% (-0.20200000000001 -0.2)
Both teams to score 57.4% (-0.336 -0.34)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.89% (-0.437 -0.44)46.1% (0.435 0.44)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.59% (-0.415 -0.41)68.4% (0.411 0.41)
Portsmouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.14% (-0.143 -0.14)24.85% (0.141 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.54% (-0.19900000000001 -0.2)59.45% (0.198 0.2)
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.38% (-0.30300000000001 -0.3)23.61% (0.3 0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.3% (-0.436 -0.44)57.69% (0.435 0.44)
Score Analysis
    Portsmouth 36.3%
    Bolton Wanderers 38.61%
    Draw 25.09%
PortsmouthDrawBolton Wanderers
2-1 @ 8.21% (0.012 0.01)
1-0 @ 8.17% (0.117 0.12)
2-0 @ 5.69% (0.059 0.06)
3-1 @ 3.81% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.75% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-0 @ 2.64% (0.016 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.33% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-2 @ 0.96% (-0.015 -0.02)
4-0 @ 0.92% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.83%
Total : 36.3%
1-1 @ 11.79% (0.069999999999999 0.07)
2-2 @ 5.92% (-0.044 -0.04)
0-0 @ 5.87% (0.107 0.11)
3-3 @ 1.32% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 25.09%
1-2 @ 8.51% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
0-1 @ 8.47% (0.082000000000001 0.08)
0-2 @ 6.11% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
1-3 @ 4.1% (-0.05 -0.05)
0-3 @ 2.94% (-0.024 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.85% (-0.047 -0.05)
1-4 @ 1.48% (-0.031 -0.03)
0-4 @ 1.06% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.03% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 38.61%

How you voted: Portsmouth vs Bolton

Portsmouth
35.1%
Draw
8.1%
Bolton Wanderers
56.8%
74
Head to Head
Feb 28, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 11
Portsmouth
3-1
Bolton
Towler (73', 84'), Bishop (87')
Charles (48')
Jan 14, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 27
Bolton
3-0
Portsmouth
Charles (15'), Lee (48'), Toal (71')
Jan 10, 2023 7.45pm
Apr 5, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 40
Bolton
1-1
Portsmouth
Sadlier (76' pen.)
Dempsey (38'), Aimson (49')
O'Brien (50')
(77')
Oct 30, 2021 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CPortsmouth452713576413594
2Derby CountyDerby452781076373989
3Bolton WanderersBolton452511983483586
4Peterborough UnitedPeterborough452581286582883
5Barnsley4521121281631875
6Lincoln CityLincoln4520141165382774
7Oxford UnitedOxford Utd4521111377552274
8Blackpool4521101463451873
9Stevenage4518141355451068
10Wycombe WanderersWycombe451614155955462
11Leyton Orient451711175054-462
12Exeter CityExeter451710184559-1461
13Wigan AthleticWigan451910166156559
14Northampton TownNorthampton45178205665-959
15Bristol Rovers45169205266-1457
16Charlton AthleticCharlton451120146464053
17Reading451511196568-350
18Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury45139233464-3048
19Cambridge UnitedCambridge451211223961-2247
20Burton Albion451210233964-2546
21Cheltenham TownCheltenham45128254063-2344
RFleetwood TownFleetwood45913234672-2640
RPort Vale451010254174-3340
RCarlisle UnitedCarlisle4579294179-3830


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