Home > Football > Championship
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 40.88%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 33.61% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.75%) and 0-2 (6.78%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 1-0 (8.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stoke City would win this match.
Result | ||
Birmingham City | Draw | Stoke City |
33.61% ( -0.9) | 25.51% ( -0.39) | 40.88% ( 1.28) |
Both teams to score 55.47% ( 1.09) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.61% ( 1.5) | 48.39% ( -1.5) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.47% ( 1.35) | 70.52% ( -1.36) |
Birmingham City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.48% ( 0.17) | 27.51% ( -0.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.98% ( 0.22) | 63.02% ( -0.22) |
Stoke City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.53% ( 1.33) | 23.47% ( -1.33) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.51% ( 1.89) | 57.48% ( -1.89) |
Score Analysis |
Birmingham City | Draw | Stoke City |
1-0 @ 8.33% ( -0.48) 2-1 @ 7.79% ( -0.1) 2-0 @ 5.38% ( -0.28) 3-1 @ 3.35% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.43% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 2.31% ( -0.11) 4-1 @ 1.08% ( -0) Other @ 2.93% Total : 33.61% | 1-1 @ 12.07% ( -0.22) 0-0 @ 6.46% ( -0.41) 2-2 @ 5.65% ( 0.15) 3-3 @ 1.17% ( 0.08) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.5% | 0-1 @ 9.36% ( -0.22) 1-2 @ 8.75% ( 0.18) 0-2 @ 6.78% ( 0.11) 1-3 @ 4.23% ( 0.25) 0-3 @ 3.28% ( 0.18) 2-3 @ 2.73% ( 0.17) 1-4 @ 1.53% ( 0.14) 0-4 @ 1.19% ( 0.11) 2-4 @ 0.99% ( 0.1) Other @ 2.04% Total : 40.88% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
P | Leicester CityLeicester | 44 | 30 | 4 | 10 | 86 | 39 | 47 | 94 |
2 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 45 | 27 | 9 | 9 | 80 | 41 | 39 | 90 |
3 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 43 | 26 | 11 | 6 | 85 | 53 | 32 | 89 |
4 | Southampton | 44 | 25 | 9 | 10 | 85 | 61 | 24 | 84 |
5 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 44 | 20 | 12 | 12 | 67 | 44 | 23 | 72 |
6 | Norwich CityNorwich | 44 | 21 | 9 | 14 | 77 | 61 | 16 | 72 |
7 | Hull City | 44 | 19 | 12 | 13 | 65 | 56 | 9 | 69 |
8 | Coventry CityCoventry | 43 | 17 | 12 | 14 | 68 | 55 | 13 | 63 |
9 | Middlesbrough | 44 | 18 | 9 | 17 | 64 | 60 | 4 | 63 |
10 | Preston North EndPreston | 44 | 18 | 9 | 17 | 56 | 61 | -5 | 63 |
11 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 44 | 19 | 5 | 20 | 50 | 61 | -11 | 62 |
12 | Bristol City | 44 | 16 | 11 | 17 | 51 | 47 | 4 | 59 |
13 | Sunderland | 44 | 16 | 8 | 20 | 52 | 51 | 1 | 56 |
14 | Swansea CitySwansea | 44 | 15 | 11 | 18 | 57 | 62 | -5 | 56 |
15 | Watford | 44 | 12 | 17 | 15 | 59 | 58 | 1 | 53 |
16 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 45 | 14 | 11 | 20 | 45 | 57 | -12 | 53 |
17 | Millwall | 44 | 14 | 11 | 19 | 43 | 55 | -12 | 53 |
18 | Stoke CityStoke | 44 | 13 | 11 | 20 | 44 | 60 | -16 | 50 |
19 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 44 | 13 | 10 | 21 | 58 | 74 | -16 | 49 |
20 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 44 | 12 | 12 | 20 | 58 | 69 | -11 | 48 |
21 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 44 | 13 | 8 | 23 | 39 | 68 | -29 | 47 |
22 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 44 | 12 | 10 | 22 | 48 | 64 | -16 | 46 |
23 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 44 | 9 | 17 | 18 | 47 | 74 | -27 | 44 |
R | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 44 | 4 | 12 | 28 | 32 | 85 | -53 | 24 |
> Championship Full Table |