Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 51.44%. A win for Toulouse had a probability of 26% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.04%) and 0-2 (7.54%). The likeliest Toulouse win was 2-1 (6.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lens would win this match.
Result | ||
Toulouse | Draw | Lens |
26% ( 0.18) | 22.56% ( 0.3) | 51.44% ( -0.48) |
Both teams to score 60.98% ( -0.9) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.91% ( -1.27) | 39.08% ( 1.27) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.59% ( -1.34) | 61.41% ( 1.35) |
Toulouse Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.04% ( -0.53) | 27.96% ( 0.54) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.41% ( -0.69) | 63.59% ( 0.69) |
Lens Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.64% ( -0.61) | 15.36% ( 0.62) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.87% ( -1.16) | 44.13% ( 1.17) |
Score Analysis |
Toulouse | Draw | Lens |
2-1 @ 6.53% ( 0.06) 1-0 @ 5.47% ( 0.24) 2-0 @ 3.49% ( 0.1) 3-1 @ 2.78% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.6% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 1.48% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.65% Total : 26% | 1-1 @ 10.25% ( 0.24) 2-2 @ 6.12% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 4.29% ( 0.25) 3-3 @ 1.62% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.27% Total : 22.56% | 1-2 @ 9.6% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 8.04% ( 0.31) 0-2 @ 7.54% ( 0.13) 1-3 @ 6% ( -0.12) 0-3 @ 4.71% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 3.82% ( -0.14) 1-4 @ 2.81% ( -0.12) 0-4 @ 2.2% ( -0.06) 2-4 @ 1.79% ( -0.1) 1-5 @ 1.05% ( -0.07) Other @ 3.87% Total : 51.44% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 30 | 20 | 9 | 1 | 73 | 26 | 47 | 69 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 30 | 17 | 7 | 6 | 56 | 38 | 18 | 58 |
3 | Brest | 30 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 44 | 29 | 15 | 53 |
4 | Lille | 30 | 14 | 10 | 6 | 43 | 26 | 17 | 52 |
5 | Nice | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 33 | 24 | 9 | 48 |
6 | Lens | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 39 | 32 | 7 | 46 |
7 | Rennes | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 44 | 36 | 8 | 42 |
8 | Marseille | 30 | 10 | 11 | 9 | 45 | 37 | 8 | 41 |
9 | Lyon | 30 | 12 | 5 | 13 | 39 | 49 | -10 | 41 |
10 | Reims | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 37 | 41 | -4 | 40 |
11 | Toulouse | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 36 | 39 | -3 | 37 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 31 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 39 | 43 | -4 | 37 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 33 | 41 | -8 | 36 |
14 | NantesNantes | 31 | 9 | 5 | 17 | 29 | 49 | -20 | 32 |
15 | Metz | 30 | 8 | 5 | 17 | 31 | 49 | -18 | 29 |
16 | Le HavreLe Havre | 30 | 6 | 10 | 14 | 27 | 38 | -11 | 28 |
17 | Lorient | 30 | 6 | 8 | 16 | 36 | 59 | -23 | 26 |
18 | Clermont | 30 | 4 | 10 | 16 | 21 | 49 | -28 | 22 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |