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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 60.64%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Port Vale had a probability of 17.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.37%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.16%), while for a Port Vale win it was 0-1 (5.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portsmouth would win this match.
Result | ||
Portsmouth | Draw | Port Vale |
60.64% ( 0.07) | 21.47% ( -0.03) | 17.89% ( -0.04) |
Both teams to score 52.93% ( 0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.74% ( 0.06) | 44.25% ( -0.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.37% ( 0.06) | 66.63% ( -0.06) |
Portsmouth Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.86% ( 0.04) | 14.13% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.21% ( 0.09) | 41.79% ( -0.09) |
Port Vale Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.64% ( -0.02) | 38.36% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.89% ( -0.01) | 75.11% ( 0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Portsmouth | Draw | Port Vale |
1-0 @ 10.6% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 10.37% 2-1 @ 9.94% ( 0) 3-0 @ 6.77% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 6.49% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 3.31% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 3.17% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.11% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.52% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.3% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.24% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.82% Total : 60.63% | 1-1 @ 10.16% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 5.42% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.76% ( -0) 3-3 @ 0.99% ( 0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 21.46% | 0-1 @ 5.2% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 4.87% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 2.49% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.56% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.52% ( -0) Other @ 2.25% Total : 17.89% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Portsmouth | 45 | 27 | 13 | 5 | 76 | 41 | 35 | 94 |
2 | Derby CountyDerby | 45 | 27 | 8 | 10 | 76 | 37 | 39 | 89 |
3 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 45 | 25 | 11 | 9 | 83 | 48 | 35 | 86 |
4 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 45 | 25 | 8 | 12 | 86 | 58 | 28 | 83 |
5 | Barnsley | 45 | 21 | 12 | 12 | 81 | 63 | 18 | 75 |
6 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 45 | 20 | 14 | 11 | 65 | 38 | 27 | 74 |
7 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 45 | 21 | 11 | 13 | 77 | 55 | 22 | 74 |
8 | Blackpool | 45 | 21 | 10 | 14 | 63 | 45 | 18 | 73 |
9 | Stevenage | 45 | 18 | 14 | 13 | 55 | 45 | 10 | 68 |
10 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 45 | 16 | 14 | 15 | 59 | 55 | 4 | 62 |
11 | Leyton Orient | 45 | 17 | 11 | 17 | 50 | 54 | -4 | 62 |
12 | Exeter CityExeter | 45 | 17 | 10 | 18 | 45 | 59 | -14 | 61 |
13 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 45 | 19 | 10 | 16 | 61 | 56 | 5 | 59 |
14 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 45 | 17 | 8 | 20 | 56 | 65 | -9 | 59 |
15 | Bristol Rovers | 45 | 16 | 9 | 20 | 52 | 66 | -14 | 57 |
16 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 45 | 11 | 20 | 14 | 64 | 64 | 0 | 53 |
17 | Reading | 45 | 15 | 11 | 19 | 65 | 68 | -3 | 50 |
18 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 45 | 13 | 9 | 23 | 34 | 64 | -30 | 48 |
19 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 45 | 12 | 11 | 22 | 39 | 61 | -22 | 47 |
20 | Burton Albion | 45 | 12 | 10 | 23 | 39 | 64 | -25 | 46 |
21 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 45 | 12 | 8 | 25 | 40 | 63 | -23 | 44 |
R | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 45 | 9 | 13 | 23 | 46 | 72 | -26 | 40 |
R | Port Vale | 45 | 10 | 10 | 25 | 41 | 74 | -33 | 40 |
R | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 45 | 7 | 9 | 29 | 41 | 79 | -38 | 30 |
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