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Championship header 2

League Two
Notts County
League Two | Gameweek 25
Dec 29, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Meadow Lane Stadium
Morecambe

Notts County
5 - 0
Morecambe

Langstaff (10' pen., 12', 36'), Crowley (24'), Jones (46')
Brindley (17')
FT(HT: 4-0)

Taylor (38'), McKiernan (66')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League Two clash between Notts County and Morecambe, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Notts County

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Notts County 3-0 Doncaster
Tuesday, December 26 at 3pm in League Two

Morecambe

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Bradford 2-2 Morecambe
Tuesday, December 26 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Notts County 2-1 Morecambe

 Notts County picked up a late Christmas present against Doncaster and will head into Friday's game with renewed confidence. Williams's side take on a Morecambe side who have struggled to steady their ship in recent weeks and we fancy them to claim all three points in front of their home supporters. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 61.85%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 19.63% and a draw had a probability of 18.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.42%) and 2-0 (6.8%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 1-2 (4.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.43%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Notts County would win this match.

Result
Notts CountyDrawMorecambe
61.85% (-0.434 -0.43) 18.51% (0.161 0.16) 19.63% (0.271 0.27)
Both teams to score 67.36% (-0.146 -0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
72.87% (-0.37599999999999 -0.38)27.13% (0.374 0.37)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
52.35% (-0.476 -0.48)47.65% (0.474 0.47)
Notts County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.35% (-0.2 -0.2)8.64% (0.199 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
70.19% (-0.492 -0.49)29.81% (0.491 0.49)
Morecambe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.73%26.26% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.62% (0.0039999999999978 0)61.38% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Notts County 61.86%
    Morecambe 19.63%
    Draw 18.51%
Notts CountyDrawMorecambe
2-1 @ 9.1% (0.039 0.04)
3-1 @ 7.42% (-0.039 -0.04)
2-0 @ 6.8% (0.028 0.03)
1-0 @ 5.56% (0.075 0.08)
3-0 @ 5.55% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-2 @ 4.96% (-0.025 -0.03)
4-1 @ 4.54% (-0.067 -0.07)
4-0 @ 3.4% (-0.05 -0.05)
4-2 @ 3.04% (-0.044 -0.04)
5-1 @ 2.23% (-0.055 -0.05)
5-0 @ 1.66% (-0.041 -0.04)
5-2 @ 1.49% (-0.036 -0.04)
4-3 @ 1.35% (-0.019 -0.02)
6-1 @ 0.91% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 3.84%
Total : 61.86%
1-1 @ 7.43% (0.102 0.1)
2-2 @ 6.08% (0.027 0.03)
0-0 @ 2.27% (0.052 0.05)
3-3 @ 2.21% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 0.52%
Total : 18.51%
1-2 @ 4.97% (0.069 0.07)
0-1 @ 3.04% (0.07 0.07)
2-3 @ 2.71% (0.012 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.21% (0.031 0.03)
0-2 @ 2.03% (0.047 0.05)
2-4 @ 0.91% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 0.9% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 19.63%

How you voted: Notts County vs Morecambe

Notts County
91.7%
Draw
0.0%
Morecambe
8.3%
12
Head to Head
Aug 15, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Morecambe
0-0
Notts County
Major (37')
Baldwin (36')
Mar 16, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 38
Notts County
0-0
Morecambe
Rose (50'), Doyle (95')
Bennett (14'), Mingoia (33'), Cranston (67'), Fleming (86'), Halstead (95')
Nov 24, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 19
Morecambe
1-1
Notts County
Ellison (88')
Dennis (52')
Husin (71')
Dec 26, 2017 3pm
Morecambe
1-4
Notts County
Lang (89')
Grant (13', 59'), Alessandra (21', 86')
Sep 9, 2017 3pm
Notts County
2-0
Morecambe
Jones (27'), Forte (85')
Hewitt (65')

Rose (26'), Muller (88')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CStockport CountyStockport452711795464992
4MK Dons452381479641577
5Doncaster RoversDoncaster45217177166570
6Crewe AlexandraCrewe451913136864470
7BarrowBarrow451814136155668
8Crawley TownCrawley45207187167467
9Bradford CityBradford451812155758-166
10Walsall451811166868065
11Gillingham45189184455-1163
12AFC Wimbledon451614155950962
13Harrogate TownHarrogate451711175867-962
14Notts County45187208985461
15Tranmere RoversTranmere45176226666057
16Morecambe45179196478-1457
17Newport CountyNewport45167226172-1155
18Accrington StanleyAccrington45159215970-1154
19Swindon TownSwindon451411207480-653
20Salford City451311216480-1650
21Grimsby Town451116185772-1549
22Colchester UnitedColchester451111235879-2144
23Sutton UnitedSutton45914225580-2541
RForest Green RoversForest Green45109264378-3539
> League Two Full Table


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