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Championship | Gameweek 37
Mar 9, 2024 at 3pm UK
Vicarage Road
Coventry City

Watford
1 - 2
Coventry

Porteous (20')
Hoedt (26')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Wright (40' pen., 72')
Kelly (19'), Palmer (23'), Bidwell (45+1'), Thomas (66'), Wright (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Watford and Coventry City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Watford 1-1 Swansea
Wednesday, March 6 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Watford 1-1 Coventry City

Having not won at Vicarage Road since November 25, Watford are devoid of confidence on their own patch but possess the quality to earn a result this weekend. Coventry have alternated lacklustre displays with handsome victories over the past fortnight - we are expecting something in the middle of those two extremes from the Sky Blues on Saturday afternoon. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 38.73%. A win for Coventry City had a probability of 35.79% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.51%) and 2-0 (6.31%). The likeliest Coventry City win was 0-1 (8.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.

Result
WatfordDrawCoventry City
38.73% (0.039999999999999 0.04) 25.48% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01) 35.79% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Both teams to score 55.98% (0.026999999999994 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.09% (0.035000000000004 0.04)47.91% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.91% (0.034000000000002 0.03)70.09% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.64% (0.037999999999997 0.04)24.36% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.23% (0.053000000000004 0.05)58.77% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)
Coventry City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.02% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)25.99% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)61% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Score Analysis
    Watford 38.73%
    Coventry City 35.79%
    Draw 25.47%
WatfordDrawCoventry City
1-0 @ 8.94% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-1 @ 8.51% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.31% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 4% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.97% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 2.7% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 1.41% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 1.05% (0.0029999999999999 0)
4-2 @ 0.95% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 38.73%
1-1 @ 12.04% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.33% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.73% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-3 @ 1.21% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.47%
0-1 @ 8.53% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-2 @ 8.12% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-2 @ 5.75% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.65% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
0-3 @ 2.58% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.58% (0.0020000000000002 0)
1-4 @ 1.23%
Other @ 3.36%
Total : 35.79%

How you voted: Watford vs Coventry

Watford
31.7%
Draw
26.7%
Coventry City
41.7%
60
Head to Head
Sep 2, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 5
Coventry
3-3
Watford
Van Ewijk (41'), Hoedt (64' og.), Godden (87')
Eccles (24'), McFadzean (60'), Sheaf (76')
Rajovic (35', 79'), Martins (52')
Porteous (30'), Sierralta (40'), Hoedt (90+4')
Apr 10, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 41
Coventry
2-2
Watford
Godden (58'), Sheaf (72')
Pedro (6'), Louza (45+1')
Nov 5, 2022 3pm
Feb 6, 2021 12.30pm
Gameweek 28
Coventry
0-0
Watford
Sierralta (24'), Gray (29')
Nov 7, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 11
Watford
3-2
Coventry
Gray (54'), Troost-Ekong (66'), Sarr (83' pen.)
Femenia (62')
Hamer (63'), Walker (64')
Skiri Oestigaard (55'), O'Hare (83')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
2Leeds UnitedLeeds45279980413990
3Ipswich TownIpswich432611685533289
4Southampton442591085612484
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4420121267442372
6Norwich CityNorwich442191477611672
7Hull City441912136556969
8Coventry CityCoventry4317121468551363
9Middlesbrough44189176460463
10Preston North EndPreston44189175661-563
11Cardiff CityCardiff44195205061-1162
12Bristol City441611175147459
13Sunderland44168205251156
14Swansea CitySwansea441511185762-556
15Watford441217155958153
16Queens Park RangersQPR451411204557-1253
17Millwall441411194355-1253
18Stoke CityStoke441311204460-1650
19Blackburn RoversBlackburn441310215874-1649
20Plymouth ArgylePlymouth441212205869-1148
21Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds44138233968-2947
22Birmingham CityBirmingham441210224864-1646
23Huddersfield TownHuddersfield44917184774-2744
RRotherham UnitedRotherham44412283285-5324


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