Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 67.99%. A draw had a probability of 19.3% and a win for Clermont had a probability of 12.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.67%) and 2-1 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.16%), while for a Clermont win it was 0-1 (4.34%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lille would win this match.
Result | ||
Lille | Draw | Clermont |
67.99% ( 0.27) | 19.26% ( -0) | 12.74% ( -0.26) |
Both teams to score 47.77% ( -0.75) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.26% ( -0.6) | 44.74% ( 0.6) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.9% ( -0.58) | 67.1% ( 0.58) |
Lille Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.87% ( -0.1) | 12.13% ( 0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
62.28% ( -0.21) | 37.72% ( 0.21) |
Clermont Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
54.37% ( -0.79) | 45.63% ( 0.79) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
18.57% ( -0.63) | 81.43% ( 0.63) |
Score Analysis |
Lille | Draw | Clermont |
2-0 @ 12.31% ( 0.22) 1-0 @ 11.67% ( 0.25) 2-1 @ 9.66% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 8.66% ( 0.12) 3-1 @ 6.79% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 4.57% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 3.58% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.67% ( -0.08) 5-0 @ 1.93% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.51% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.41% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.23% Total : 67.98% | 1-1 @ 9.16% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.54% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 3.79% ( -0.1) Other @ 0.77% Total : 19.26% | 0-1 @ 4.34% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 3.59% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 1.7% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.17% Total : 12.74% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 30 | 20 | 9 | 1 | 73 | 26 | 47 | 69 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 30 | 17 | 7 | 6 | 56 | 38 | 18 | 58 |
3 | Brest | 30 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 44 | 29 | 15 | 53 |
4 | Lille | 30 | 14 | 10 | 6 | 43 | 26 | 17 | 52 |
5 | Nice | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 33 | 24 | 9 | 48 |
6 | Lens | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 39 | 32 | 7 | 46 |
7 | Rennes | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 44 | 36 | 8 | 42 |
8 | Marseille | 30 | 10 | 11 | 9 | 45 | 37 | 8 | 41 |
9 | Lyon | 30 | 12 | 5 | 13 | 39 | 49 | -10 | 41 |
10 | Reims | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 37 | 41 | -4 | 40 |
11 | Toulouse | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 36 | 39 | -3 | 37 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 31 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 39 | 43 | -4 | 37 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 33 | 41 | -8 | 36 |
14 | NantesNantes | 31 | 9 | 5 | 17 | 29 | 49 | -20 | 32 |
15 | Metz | 30 | 8 | 5 | 17 | 31 | 49 | -18 | 29 |
16 | Le HavreLe Havre | 30 | 6 | 10 | 14 | 27 | 38 | -11 | 28 |
17 | Lorient | 30 | 6 | 8 | 16 | 36 | 59 | -23 | 26 |
18 | Clermont | 30 | 4 | 10 | 16 | 21 | 49 | -28 | 22 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |