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Nashville
Major League Soccer
Oct 15, 2023 at 1.30am UK
First Tennessee Park
New England Revolution

Nashville
3 - 2
New England

McCarty (19'), Surridge (30', 45+3')
Williams (42'), McCarty (59')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Chancalay (49', 71')
Polster (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Nashville SC and New England Revolution, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Philadelphia 0-0 Nashville
Sunday, October 8 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Orlando City 3-2 New England
Sunday, October 8 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Nashville SC 1-0 New England Revolution

The one thing Nashville have always known how to do well is defend, and for as poor as they have been in front of goal, the Boys in Gold have been airtight defensively at home. The Revs have failed to score in three of their five encounters with Nashville, scoring only once in two previous visits to the Music City, and we expect them to have a tough time getting through the home team's backline on Saturday.

How to watch

You can watch Nashville SC vs. New England Revolution and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nashville SC win with a probability of 54.75%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for New England Revolution had a probability of 22.36%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nashville SC win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.85%) and 2-0 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.77%), while for a New England Revolution win it was 0-1 (5.9%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Nashville SC would win this match.

Result
Nashville SCDrawNew England Revolution
54.75% (0.024000000000001 0.02) 22.89% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 22.36% (-0.022000000000002 -0.02)
Both teams to score 55.55% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.68% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)44.32% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.3% (-0.012 -0.01)66.7% (0.012999999999991 0.01)
Nashville SC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.91% (0.0030000000000001 0)16.09% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.52% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)45.48% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
New England Revolution Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.2% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)33.8% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.53% (-0.029 -0.03)70.47% (0.028999999999996 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Nashville SC 54.75%
    New England Revolution 22.36%
    Draw 22.88%
Nashville SCDrawNew England Revolution
1-0 @ 9.94% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.85%
2-0 @ 9.08% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
3-1 @ 6% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 5.53% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.25% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-1 @ 2.74% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 2.53% (0.0029999999999997 0)
4-2 @ 1.49%
5-1 @ 1%
5-0 @ 0.92% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 54.75%
1-1 @ 10.77%
0-0 @ 5.44% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-2 @ 5.34% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-3 @ 1.18% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 22.88%
0-1 @ 5.9% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-2 @ 5.84% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-2 @ 3.2% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 2.11% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.93% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 1.16% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 22.36%

How you voted: Nashville vs New England

Nashville SC
53.8%
Draw
23.1%
New England Revolution
23.1%
13
Head to Head
Mar 18, 2023 11.30pm
Aug 5, 2021 12am
May 8, 2021 6.30pm
Gameweek 5
Nashville
2-0
New England
Sapong (25'), Muyl (75')
Lovitz (28'), Godoy (90+3')

Jones (57')
Oct 24, 2020 1.30am
Oct 4, 2020 12.30am
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami105322215718
2New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls9441139416
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati9432108215
4Columbus Crew9351129314
5Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia7340149513
6Toronto9414912-313
7Atlanta UnitedAtlanta8323139411
8New York City FCNY City932499011
9Charlotte FCCharlotte FC9324911-211
10CF MontrealMontreal83231216-411
11DC United92431214-210
12Orlando City82331015-59
13Chicago Fire92341118-79
14Nashville SCNashville8143916-77
15New England RevolutionNew England8116514-94

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy105322117418
2Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver8512179816
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake9432158715
4Colorado RapidsColorado94321513215
5Austin FCAustin104331413115
6Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd8422139414
7Houston DynamoHouston841398113
8Los Angeles FCLos Angeles93331514112
9St Louis City92611514112
10Sporting Kansas CityKansas92521716111
11Portland TimbersPortland92431818010
12Seattle SoundersSeattle81349906
13Dallas8125712-55
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes91081324-113


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