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Championship | Gameweek 36
Mar 6, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Riverside Stadium
Norwich logo

Middlesbrough
3 - 1
Norwich

Forss (37'), Latte Lath (43'), Engel (62')
Forss (20')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Barnes (17')
McLean (47')
Sainz (30')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Middlesbrough and Norwich City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stoke 2-0 Middlesbrough
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Norwich 1-0 Sunderland
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Middlesbrough 1-2 Norwich City

Given the quality of some of Boro's players, they may click back into gear at some stage. Nevertheless, that may still not be enough to outclass this Norwich side, who we expect to battle their way to victory at the Riverside Stadium. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 49.08%. A win for Norwich City had a probability of 27.04% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.27%) and 2-0 (7.91%). The likeliest Norwich City win was 1-2 (6.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.18%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Middlesbrough would win this match.

Result
MiddlesbroughDrawNorwich City
49.08% (-0.192 -0.19) 23.88% (0.048000000000002 0.05) 27.04% (0.143 0.14)
Both teams to score 57.34% (-0.044999999999995 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.68% (-0.112 -0.11)44.32% (0.112 0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.3% (-0.109 -0.11)66.69% (0.10899999999999 0.11)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.83% (-0.11799999999999 -0.12)18.17% (0.118 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.85% (-0.201 -0.2)49.15% (0.201 0.2)
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.07% (0.047999999999988 0.05)29.93% (-0.047999999999998 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.96% (0.058 0.06)66.03% (-0.057999999999993 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Middlesbrough 49.08%
    Norwich City 27.04%
    Draw 23.87%
MiddlesbroughDrawNorwich City
2-1 @ 9.54% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01)
1-0 @ 9.27% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.91% (-0.021999999999999 -0.02)
3-1 @ 5.42% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-0 @ 4.5% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-2 @ 3.27% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.31% (-0.021 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.92% (-0.02 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.4% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 3.54%
Total : 49.08%
1-1 @ 11.18% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.75% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-0 @ 5.44% (0.026 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.32% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 23.87%
1-2 @ 6.75% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
0-1 @ 6.56% (0.040999999999999 0.04)
0-2 @ 3.96% (0.03 0.03)
1-3 @ 2.71% (0.014 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.31% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 1.59% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 27.04%

How you voted: Middlesbrough vs Norwich

Middlesbrough
24.7%
Draw
16.0%
Norwich City
59.3%
150
Head to Head
Oct 24, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 13
Norwich
1-2
Middlesbrough
Rowe (90+9')
Sara (76'), Rowe (90+5')
Greenwood (46'), Silvera (90+2')
Hackney (89'), Dieng (90+4')
Apr 14, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 42
Middlesbrough
5-1
Norwich
Ramsey (7'), Hackney (41'), Archer (43', 45+6'), Akpom (49')
Sargent (45')
Nov 12, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 21
Norwich
1-2
Middlesbrough
Sargent (7')
McGree (64'), Crooks (90+2')
Jan 30, 2021 12.30pm
Gameweek 27
Norwich
0-0
Middlesbrough
Buendia (41')
Buendia (67')
Saville (73'), Howson (90')
Nov 21, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 12
Middlesbrough
0-1
Norwich
Pukki (72' pen.)
Sorensen (15')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
2Leeds UnitedLeeds45279980413990
3Ipswich TownIpswich432611685533289
4Southampton442591085612484
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4420121267442372
6Norwich CityNorwich442191477611672
7Hull City441912136556969
8Coventry CityCoventry4317121468551363
9Middlesbrough44189176460463
10Preston North EndPreston44189175661-563
11Cardiff CityCardiff44195205061-1162
12Bristol City441611175147459
13Sunderland44168205251156
14Swansea CitySwansea441511185762-556
15Watford441217155958153
16Queens Park RangersQPR451411204557-1253
17Millwall441411194355-1253
18Stoke CityStoke441311204460-1650
19Blackburn RoversBlackburn441310215874-1649
20Plymouth ArgylePlymouth441212205869-1148
21Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds44138233968-2947
22Birmingham CityBirmingham441210224864-1646
23Huddersfield TownHuddersfield44917184774-2744
RRotherham UnitedRotherham44412283285-5324


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