Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 54.8%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Girona had a probability of 20.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.44%) and 2-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.57%), while for a Girona win it was 0-1 (6.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result | ||
Celta Vigo | Draw | Girona |
54.8% ( -0.73) | 24.39% ( 0.43) | 20.81% ( 0.29) |
Both teams to score 48.71% ( -0.85) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.66% ( -1.35) | 52.34% ( 1.35) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.97% ( -1.17) | 74.03% ( 1.17) |
Celta Vigo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.99% ( -0.78) | 19.01% ( 0.78) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.43% ( -1.32) | 50.57% ( 1.32) |
Girona Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.15% ( -0.46) | 39.85% ( 0.46) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.49% ( -0.43) | 76.51% ( 0.43) |
Score Analysis |
Celta Vigo | Draw | Girona |
1-0 @ 12.57% ( 0.35) 2-0 @ 10.44% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 9.61% ( -0.09) 3-0 @ 5.78% ( -0.12) 3-1 @ 5.32% ( -0.18) 3-2 @ 2.45% ( -0.12) 4-0 @ 2.4% ( -0.11) 4-1 @ 2.21% ( -0.13) 4-2 @ 1.02% ( -0.08) Other @ 3.02% Total : 54.79% | 1-1 @ 11.57% ( 0.19) 0-0 @ 7.58% ( 0.4) 2-2 @ 4.42% ( -0.1) Other @ 0.83% Total : 24.39% | 0-1 @ 6.97% ( 0.28) 1-2 @ 5.32% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 3.21% ( 0.09) 1-3 @ 1.63% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.36% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 0.98% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.34% Total : 20.81% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Madrid | 33 | 26 | 6 | 1 | 71 | 22 | 49 | 84 |
2 | GironaGirona | 33 | 22 | 5 | 6 | 69 | 40 | 29 | 71 |
3 | Barcelona | 32 | 21 | 7 | 4 | 64 | 37 | 27 | 70 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 32 | 19 | 4 | 9 | 59 | 38 | 21 | 61 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 32 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 52 | 30 | 22 | 58 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 33 | 13 | 12 | 8 | 46 | 35 | 11 | 51 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 32 | 12 | 12 | 8 | 40 | 38 | 2 | 48 |
8 | Valencia | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 35 | 34 | 1 | 47 |
9 | Getafe | 33 | 10 | 13 | 10 | 41 | 45 | -4 | 43 |
10 | Villarreal | 32 | 11 | 9 | 12 | 51 | 55 | -4 | 42 |
11 | Osasuna | 32 | 11 | 6 | 15 | 37 | 46 | -9 | 39 |
12 | Sevilla | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 41 | 45 | -4 | 37 |
13 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 30 | 41 | -11 | 37 |
14 | AlavesAlaves | 32 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 28 | 38 | -10 | 35 |
15 | Rayo Vallecano | 32 | 7 | 13 | 12 | 27 | 39 | -12 | 34 |
16 | Celta Vigo | 32 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 37 | 47 | -10 | 31 |
17 | Mallorca | 32 | 6 | 13 | 13 | 26 | 38 | -12 | 31 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 32 | 4 | 13 | 15 | 22 | 45 | -23 | 25 |
19 | Granada | 32 | 3 | 9 | 20 | 33 | 61 | -28 | 18 |
20 | Almeria | 33 | 1 | 11 | 21 | 32 | 67 | -35 | 14 |
> La Liga Full Table |