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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 44.4%. A draw had a probability of 28.2% and a win for Wigan Athletic had a probability of 27.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.87%) and 1-2 (8.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.03%), while for a Wigan Athletic win it was 1-0 (10.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Wigan Athletic | Draw | Millwall |
27.37% ( 0.07) | 28.22% ( -0.02) | 44.4% ( -0.05) |
Both teams to score 44.56% ( 0.08) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
38.96% ( 0.08) | 61.04% ( -0.08) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
18.97% ( 0.06) | 81.02% ( -0.06) |
Wigan Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.38% ( 0.1) | 38.62% ( -0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.64% ( 0.1) | 75.36% ( -0.1) |
Millwall Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.6% ( 0.01) | 27.4% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.12% ( 0.02) | 62.88% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Wigan Athletic | Draw | Millwall |
1-0 @ 10.06% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 6.2% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 4.79% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 1.97% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 1.52% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.27% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.56% Total : 27.37% | 1-1 @ 13.03% 0-0 @ 10.58% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.01% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.59% Total : 28.22% | 0-1 @ 13.69% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 8.87% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 8.44% ( 0) 0-3 @ 3.83% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.64% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.73% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.24% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.18% ( 0) Other @ 1.78% Total : 44.39% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
P | Leicester CityLeicester | 44 | 30 | 4 | 10 | 86 | 39 | 47 | 94 |
2 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 45 | 27 | 9 | 9 | 80 | 41 | 39 | 90 |
3 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 43 | 26 | 11 | 6 | 85 | 53 | 32 | 89 |
4 | Southampton | 44 | 25 | 9 | 10 | 85 | 61 | 24 | 84 |
5 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 44 | 20 | 12 | 12 | 67 | 44 | 23 | 72 |
6 | Norwich CityNorwich | 44 | 21 | 9 | 14 | 77 | 61 | 16 | 72 |
7 | Hull City | 44 | 19 | 12 | 13 | 65 | 56 | 9 | 69 |
8 | Coventry CityCoventry | 43 | 17 | 12 | 14 | 68 | 55 | 13 | 63 |
9 | Middlesbrough | 44 | 18 | 9 | 17 | 64 | 60 | 4 | 63 |
10 | Preston North EndPreston | 44 | 18 | 9 | 17 | 56 | 61 | -5 | 63 |
11 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 44 | 19 | 5 | 20 | 50 | 61 | -11 | 62 |
12 | Bristol City | 44 | 16 | 11 | 17 | 51 | 47 | 4 | 59 |
13 | Sunderland | 44 | 16 | 8 | 20 | 52 | 51 | 1 | 56 |
14 | Swansea CitySwansea | 44 | 15 | 11 | 18 | 57 | 62 | -5 | 56 |
15 | Watford | 44 | 12 | 17 | 15 | 59 | 58 | 1 | 53 |
16 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 45 | 14 | 11 | 20 | 45 | 57 | -12 | 53 |
17 | Millwall | 44 | 14 | 11 | 19 | 43 | 55 | -12 | 53 |
18 | Stoke CityStoke | 44 | 13 | 11 | 20 | 44 | 60 | -16 | 50 |
19 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 44 | 13 | 10 | 21 | 58 | 74 | -16 | 49 |
20 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 44 | 12 | 12 | 20 | 58 | 69 | -11 | 48 |
21 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 44 | 13 | 8 | 23 | 39 | 68 | -29 | 47 |
22 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 44 | 12 | 10 | 22 | 48 | 64 | -16 | 46 |
23 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 44 | 9 | 17 | 18 | 47 | 74 | -27 | 44 |
R | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 44 | 4 | 12 | 28 | 32 | 85 | -53 | 24 |
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