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Championship | Gameweek 15
Nov 4, 2023 at 3pm UK
Swansea.com Stadium
Sunderland

Swansea
0 - 0
Sunderland


Patino (10'), Duff (11'), Fulton (50'), Darling (80')
Patino (30')
FT

Rusyn (20'), Ballard (52'), O'Nien (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Swansea City and Sunderland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Blackburn 0-1 Swansea
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Sunderland 3-1 Norwich
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Swansea City 1-1 Sunderland

The inconsistency of both sides means that this is a difficult one to call. Although these two teams generally play on the front foot, we expect a tight contest, one which may end with a hard-earned share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 39.66%. A win for Swansea City had a probability of 36.42% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.23%) and 0-2 (5.71%). The likeliest Swansea City win was 2-1 (8.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Swansea CityDrawSunderland
36.42% (0.018999999999998 0.02) 23.91% (-0.0040000000000013 -0) 39.66% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Both teams to score 61.74% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.51% (0.021000000000001 0.02)40.49% (-0.025000000000006 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.13% (0.024000000000001 0.02)62.86% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.77% (0.019000000000005 0.02)22.22% (-0.023 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.35% (0.029999999999994 0.03)55.64% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Sunderland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.37%20.62% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.81% (0.0039999999999978 0)53.18% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Swansea City 36.42%
    Sunderland 39.66%
    Draw 23.91%
Swansea CityDrawSunderland
2-1 @ 8.18% (0.0019999999999989 0)
1-0 @ 6.89% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 5.18% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 4.1% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-2 @ 3.24% (0.0029999999999997 0)
3-0 @ 2.6% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-1 @ 1.54% (0.002 0)
4-2 @ 1.22% (0.002 0)
4-0 @ 0.98% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 36.42%
1-1 @ 10.88%
2-2 @ 6.46% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-0 @ 4.58% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.71% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 23.91%
1-2 @ 8.59% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-1 @ 7.23% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.71% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 4.52% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-3 @ 3.4% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-3 @ 3.01% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-4 @ 1.78%
2-4 @ 1.34% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-4 @ 1.19% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 39.66%

How you voted: Swansea vs Sunderland

Swansea City
41.5%
Draw
34.1%
Sunderland
24.4%
41
Head to Head
Jan 14, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 27
Sunderland
1-3
Swansea
Neill (64')
Piroe (50'), Cullen (70'), Cooper (78')
Oct 8, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 14
Swansea
2-1
Sunderland
Cooper (13'), Darling (45+1')
Clarke (51')
May 13, 2017 3pm
Sunderland
0-2
Swansea

Larsson (58'), Khazri (78'), Gibson (84'), Borini (86')
Llorente (9'), Naughton (45')
Dec 10, 2016 3pm
Swansea
3-0
Sunderland
Sigurdsson (50' pen.), Llorente (54', 80')
Rangel (60')

Ndong (18'), Denayer (43')
Jan 13, 2016 7.45pm
Swansea
2-4
Sunderland
Sigurdsson (21' pen.), Ayew (40')
Naughton (37')
Defoe (3', 61', 85'), Van Aanholt (49')
Mannone (67'), van Aanholt (79')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
2Leeds UnitedLeeds45279980413990
3Ipswich TownIpswich432611685533289
4Southampton442591085612484
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4420121267442372
6Norwich CityNorwich442191477611672
7Hull City441912136556969
8Coventry CityCoventry4317121468551363
9Middlesbrough44189176460463
10Preston North EndPreston44189175661-563
11Cardiff CityCardiff44195205061-1162
12Bristol City441611175147459
13Sunderland44168205251156
14Swansea CitySwansea441511185762-556
15Watford441217155958153
16Queens Park RangersQPR451411204557-1253
17Millwall441411194355-1253
18Stoke CityStoke441311204460-1650
19Blackburn RoversBlackburn441310215874-1649
20Plymouth ArgylePlymouth441212205869-1148
21Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds44138233968-2947
22Birmingham CityBirmingham441210224864-1646
23Huddersfield TownHuddersfield44917184774-2744
RRotherham UnitedRotherham44412283285-5324


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