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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 44.16%. A win for Gillingham had a probability of 30.75% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.11%) and 0-2 (7.35%). The likeliest Gillingham win was 1-0 (7.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.86%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Gillingham | Draw | Stockport County |
30.75% ( 0.68) | 25.09% ( 0.25) | 44.16% ( -0.93) |
Both teams to score 55.77% ( -0.46) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.48% ( -0.77) | 47.52% ( 0.77) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.27% ( -0.72) | 69.73% ( 0.72) |
Gillingham Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.06% ( 0.08) | 28.94% ( -0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.18% ( 0.1) | 64.82% ( -0.1) |
Stockport County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.47% ( -0.74) | 21.53% ( 0.74) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.41% ( -1.15) | 54.59% ( 1.15) |
Score Analysis |
Gillingham | Draw | Stockport County |
1-0 @ 7.73% ( 0.26) 2-1 @ 7.36% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 4.79% ( 0.17) 3-1 @ 3.04% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 2.34% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 1.98% ( 0.08) 4-1 @ 0.94% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.58% Total : 30.75% | 1-1 @ 11.86% ( 0.14) 0-0 @ 6.23% ( 0.2) 2-2 @ 5.65% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.09% | 0-1 @ 9.57% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 9.11% ( -0.1) 0-2 @ 7.35% ( -0.09) 1-3 @ 4.66% ( -0.16) 0-3 @ 3.76% ( -0.14) 2-3 @ 2.89% ( -0.09) 1-4 @ 1.79% ( -0.1) 0-4 @ 1.44% ( -0.09) 2-4 @ 1.11% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.48% Total : 44.16% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Stockport CountyStockport | 46 | 27 | 11 | 8 | 96 | 48 | 48 | 92 |
P | Wrexham | 46 | 26 | 10 | 10 | 89 | 52 | 37 | 88 |
P | Mansfield TownMansfield | 46 | 24 | 14 | 8 | 90 | 47 | 43 | 86 |
4 | MK Dons | 46 | 23 | 9 | 14 | 83 | 68 | 15 | 78 |
5 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 46 | 21 | 8 | 17 | 73 | 68 | 5 | 71 |
6 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 46 | 19 | 14 | 13 | 69 | 65 | 4 | 71 |
7 | Crawley TownCrawley | 46 | 21 | 7 | 18 | 73 | 67 | 6 | 70 |
8 | BarrowBarrow | 46 | 18 | 15 | 13 | 62 | 56 | 6 | 69 |
9 | Bradford CityBradford | 46 | 19 | 12 | 15 | 61 | 59 | 2 | 69 |
10 | AFC Wimbledon | 46 | 17 | 14 | 15 | 64 | 51 | 13 | 65 |
11 | Walsall | 46 | 18 | 11 | 17 | 69 | 73 | -4 | 65 |
12 | Gillingham | 46 | 18 | 10 | 18 | 46 | 57 | -11 | 64 |
13 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 46 | 17 | 12 | 17 | 60 | 69 | -9 | 63 |
14 | Notts County | 46 | 18 | 7 | 21 | 89 | 86 | 3 | 61 |
15 | Morecambe | 46 | 17 | 10 | 19 | 67 | 81 | -14 | 58 |
16 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 46 | 17 | 6 | 23 | 67 | 70 | -3 | 57 |
17 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 46 | 16 | 9 | 21 | 63 | 71 | -8 | 57 |
18 | Newport CountyNewport | 46 | 16 | 7 | 23 | 62 | 76 | -14 | 55 |
19 | Swindon TownSwindon | 46 | 14 | 12 | 20 | 77 | 83 | -6 | 54 |
20 | Salford City | 46 | 13 | 12 | 21 | 66 | 82 | -16 | 51 |
21 | Grimsby Town | 46 | 11 | 16 | 19 | 57 | 74 | -17 | 49 |
22 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 46 | 11 | 12 | 23 | 59 | 80 | -21 | 45 |
23 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 46 | 9 | 15 | 22 | 59 | 84 | -25 | 42 |
R | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 46 | 11 | 9 | 26 | 44 | 78 | -34 | 42 |
> League Two Full Table |