EFL Trophy | Second Round
Dec 5, 2023 at 7pm UK
The New Lawn
Forest Green0 - 1Oxford Utd
Coverage of the EFL Trophy Second Round clash between Forest Green Rovers and Oxford United.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Forest Green 0-3 Bradford
Tuesday, November 28 at 7.45pm in League Two
Tuesday, November 28 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Oxford Utd 2-0 Grimsby Town
Saturday, December 2 at 3pm in FA Cup
Saturday, December 2 at 3pm in FA Cup
Goals
for
for
31
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 46.99%. A win for Forest Green Rovers had a probability of 29.46% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.17%) and 0-2 (7.06%). The likeliest Forest Green Rovers win was 2-1 (7.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.81%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oxford United would win this match.
Result | ||
Forest Green Rovers | Draw | Oxford United |
29.46% ( -0.04) | 23.54% ( -0.04) | 46.99% ( 0.08) |
Both teams to score 60.35% ( 0.12) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.83% ( 0.16) | 41.16% ( -0.17) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.44% ( 0.17) | 63.56% ( -0.17) |
Forest Green Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.39% ( 0.05) | 26.61% ( -0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.16% ( 0.07) | 61.83% ( -0.08) |
Oxford United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.23% ( 0.1) | 17.76% ( -0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.54% ( 0.17) | 48.46% ( -0.17) |
Score Analysis |
Forest Green Rovers 29.46%
Oxford United 46.99%
Draw 23.54%
Forest Green Rovers | Draw | Oxford United |
2-1 @ 7.16% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 6.26% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 4.14% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 3.16% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.73% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 1.83% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.05% ( 0) 4-2 @ 0.9% ( 0) Other @ 2.24% Total : 29.46% | 1-1 @ 10.81% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 6.19% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.73% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.57% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.25% Total : 23.54% | 1-2 @ 9.34% ( 0) 0-1 @ 8.17% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 7.06% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 5.38% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 4.07% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 3.56% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 2.33% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 1.76% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.54% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.79% Total : 46.99% |
How you voted: Forest Green vs Oxford Utd
Forest Green Rovers
37.5%Draw
25.0%Oxford United
37.5%8
Head to Head
Apr 29, 2023 3pm
Nov 19, 2022 3pm
Dec 8, 2020 7.45pm
Second Round
Oxford Utd
1-1
Forest Green
Oxford Utd win 4-1 on penalties
Shodipo (64')
Bailey (45+1')
Nov 10, 2018 3pm
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arsenal | 34 | 24 | 5 | 5 | 82 | 26 | 56 | 77 |
2 | Manchester CityMan City | 33 | 23 | 7 | 3 | 80 | 32 | 48 | 76 |
3 | Liverpool | 35 | 22 | 9 | 4 | 77 | 36 | 41 | 75 |
4 | Aston Villa | 34 | 20 | 6 | 8 | 71 | 50 | 21 | 66 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 32 | 18 | 6 | 8 | 65 | 49 | 16 | 60 |
6 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 34 | 16 | 6 | 12 | 52 | 51 | 1 | 54 |
7 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 74 | 55 | 19 | 53 |
8 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 35 | 13 | 10 | 12 | 56 | 65 | -9 | 49 |
9 | Chelsea | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 61 | 57 | 4 | 47 |
10 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 35 | 13 | 7 | 15 | 48 | 55 | -7 | 46 |
11 | Bournemouth | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 49 | 60 | -11 | 45 |
12 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 33 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 52 | 54 | -2 | 44 |
13 | Fulham | 35 | 12 | 7 | 16 | 51 | 55 | -4 | 43 |
14 | Crystal Palace | 35 | 10 | 10 | 15 | 45 | 57 | -12 | 40 |
15 | Everton | 35 | 12 | 8 | 15 | 37 | 48 | -11 | 36 |
16 | Brentford | 35 | 9 | 8 | 18 | 52 | 60 | -8 | 35 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 42 | 60 | -18 | 26 |
18 | Luton TownLuton | 35 | 6 | 7 | 22 | 48 | 77 | -29 | 25 |
19 | Burnley | 35 | 5 | 9 | 21 | 38 | 70 | -32 | 24 |
20 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 35 | 3 | 7 | 25 | 34 | 97 | -63 | 16 |
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