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Championship | Gameweek 45
Apr 29, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
The Hawthorns
Norwich logo

West Brom
2 - 1
Norwich

Townsend (45+1'), Wallace (56')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Sargent (41')
Byram (16'), Gibbs (53')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between West Bromwich Albion and Norwich City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sheff Utd 2-0 West Brom
Wednesday, April 26 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Norwich 0-3 Swansea
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in Championship

We said: West Bromwich Albion 1-0 Norwich City

West Brom have squandered two chances to keep their playoff fate in their own hands after defeats to Sunderland and Sheffield United, but a wounded Norwich side visiting The Hawthorns presents a good opportunity to get back to winning ways. The Canaries were left feeling deflated after their humbling loss to Swansea last time out, and we expect them to be unable to get anything out of a trip to the Black Country on Saturday evening. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Bromwich Albion win with a probability of 43.4%. A win for Norwich City had a probability of 30.69% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a West Bromwich Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.95%) and 2-0 (7.59%). The likeliest Norwich City win was 0-1 (8.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that West Bromwich Albion would win this match.

Result
West Bromwich AlbionDrawNorwich City
43.4% (-0.282 -0.28) 25.91% (0.081 0.08) 30.69% (0.197 0.2)
Both teams to score 53.05% (-0.174 -0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.96% (-0.268 -0.27)51.04% (0.265 0.27)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.1% (-0.233 -0.23)72.9% (0.23 0.23)
West Bromwich Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.61% (-0.254 -0.25)23.39% (0.251 0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.63% (-0.368 -0.37)57.38% (0.365 0.37)
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.25%30.75% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.99% (0.00099999999999767 0)67.02% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Score Analysis
    West Bromwich Albion 43.4%
    Norwich City 30.69%
    Draw 25.91%
West Bromwich AlbionDrawNorwich City
1-0 @ 10.45% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-1 @ 8.95% (-0.036 -0.04)
2-0 @ 7.59% (-0.031 -0.03)
3-1 @ 4.34% (-0.05 -0.05)
3-0 @ 3.68% (-0.043 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.56% (-0.029 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.58% (-0.029 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.34% (-0.026 -0.03)
4-2 @ 0.93% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 2%
Total : 43.4%
1-1 @ 12.32% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
0-0 @ 7.19% (0.076 0.08)
2-2 @ 5.28% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.01% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.91%
0-1 @ 8.48% (0.09 0.09)
1-2 @ 7.27% (0.025 0.03)
0-2 @ 5% (0.054 0.05)
1-3 @ 2.86% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.08% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.97% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 30.69%

How you voted: West Brom vs Norwich

West Bromwich Albion
76.7%
Draw
16.7%
Norwich City
6.7%
30
Head to Head
Sep 17, 2022 3pm
gameweek 11
Norwich
1-1
West Brom
Byram (68')
Aarons (58')
O'Shea (9')
Jan 12, 2019 3pm
gameweek 27
West Brom
1-1
Norwich
Gayle (12')
Barry (61'), Rodriguez (62'), Holgate (85')
Rhodes (83')
Tettey (56'), Buendia (62'), Krul (90'), Vrancic (94')
Aug 11, 2018 3pm
gameweek 2
Norwich
3-4
West Brom
Rhodes (24'), Pukki (70'), Hanley (82')
Rodriguez (33' pen., 48'), Barnes (65'), Robson-Kanu (79')
Mar 19, 2016 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
2Leeds UnitedLeeds45279980413990
3Ipswich TownIpswich432611685533289
4Southampton442591085612484
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4420121267442372
6Norwich CityNorwich442191477611672
7Hull City441912136556969
8Coventry CityCoventry4317121468551363
9Middlesbrough44189176460463
10Preston North EndPreston44189175661-563
11Cardiff CityCardiff44195205061-1162
12Bristol City441611175147459
13Sunderland44168205251156
14Swansea CitySwansea441511185762-556
15Watford441217155958153
16Queens Park RangersQPR451411204557-1253
17Millwall441411194355-1253
18Stoke CityStoke441311204460-1650
19Blackburn RoversBlackburn441310215874-1649
20Plymouth ArgylePlymouth441212205869-1148
21Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds44138233968-2947
22Birmingham CityBirmingham441210224864-1646
23Huddersfield TownHuddersfield44917184774-2744
RRotherham UnitedRotherham44412283285-5324


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